Commodity/Equity/Currency/Index Research & Analysis -- feel free to add your comments. mail: ckacraj@yahoo.com
Tuesday, 22 December 2015
Thursday, 10 December 2015
Sunday, 22 November 2015
Positoal Views of COMEX/NYMEX 21/22-Nov-2015
Gold 1077.14
Resistance: 1192$Downside targets: 1065, 1031, 995, 969, 933, 903.
I expect Break of 1064 next fall.
Silver 14.14
Still my previous original view is in place.http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/comex-silver-view-26-oct-2014.html
Crude 41.57
Resistance: 50.92/61.27$As long as crude resisted by 45.1/48.35/51$, I still expect to see my downside targets and expecting 40.1 first.
Further targets: 38.1, 36.90, 36.1.
Ultimate targets: 41.24, 31.1, 24.5, 22.1, 21$.
Copper 2.0323
Resistance: 2.4910$Normal target done. Further targets: 1.9547, 1.8363, 1.6475.
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/comex-copper-view-13-oct-2014.html
Natural Gas 2.129
Resistances: 2.279/2.425/2.475First target: 2.053/2.048, Further targets: 1.926, 1.888, 1.850.
Trade at your Risk. READ DISCLAIMER ALWAYS BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION.
Thanks. All the best.
Positional Analysis of COMEX and MCX COPPER GIVEN ON 12/13-OCT-2014 and Present Status 22-Nov-2015
COPPER BANGED MOST OF THE POSITIONAL TARGETS!!!
COMEX Copper - 3.0248 ---> 2.0203.MCX Copper - 414.40 ---> 299.60.
COMEX COPPER 13-Oct-2014
CMP 3.0248Resistance: 3.2775/3.5183/3.9790
Supports: 1.4070/1.2475
If Copper Resisted by 3.2775/3.5183/3.9790, I expect minimum 3.9813.
I am bearish below 2.8930. Below 2.8930, I expect 2.8200, 3.6100, 2.4000, 2.0000, 1.7200 positionally.
- See more at: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/comex-copper-view-13-oct-2014.html
CMP 2.0323
LOW: 2.0203
Chart on 13-Oct-2014
Chart on 22-Nov-2015
MCX Copper 12-Oct-2014
CMP 414.40Based on my Analysis,
Long term positional targets: 399-397, 392, 381, 374, 370, 364, 345, 325, 318.
Resistance: 422, 435, 440. Any move above 440 will change trend.
- See more at: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/mcx-copper-12-oct-2014.html
CMP: 300.25
LOW: 299.60
Chart on 12-Oct-2014
Chart on 22-Nov-2015
Wednesday, 11 November 2015
MCX ZINC Positional View Update - View given on 01-Oct-2015
11-Nov-2015
Done minimum target 105.20. Now I expect to see other targets, first I would like to see 101.10.Original Post:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/10/mcx-zinc-positional-view-01-oct-2015.html01-Oct-2015: 9:34 PM IST
CMP 110.60
Support: 105.20
Resistances: 115.70, 122.65, 134.05
As long as Zinc resisted by 114.65/115.70, 122.65, I expect to see 105.20 first.
Other targets: 105.20, [101.10], 99.3, [93.55], 90.3, [88.5], 84.70.
Wednesday, 4 November 2015
Today's Calls 04-Nov-2015
CMP 47.89
Main View:
Can Sell crude at cmp or on rise between 48.00-50.00, with max sl 51$ for downside targets 45, 43, 42.5, 41, 38..
Alternate view:
1. Sell NYMEX Crude at cmp 47.89, Max SL 48.40, TGTs: 47.00, 46.65, 46.40.
2. Buy Crude between 47.00-46.15, Max SL 45.5, TGTs: 48.3, 49, 49.5.
3. Sell Crude between 48.00- 50.00, SL Max 51$, TGTs: 45, 43, 42.5, 41, 38.
All the best.
Tuesday, 3 November 2015
USDINR Analysis 03-Nov-2015
Supports: 64.66, 63.29. Base support: 61.25/58.34
Resistances: 66.87, Big Resistance: 68.73.
As you can see in the chart, USDINR is moving within the channel and it is making 3 wave moves. So, I expect this up move to be completed as Ending Diagonal.
Note: USDINR reversed from 78.6% level of previous down move. But, I am still going with ED move to completed this up move as Wave 5.
So, As long as USDINR supported by 64.66/63.29, I expect to see [66.87] first and further: 67.39, 68.02, 68.51, [68.73], [70.12], [71.39] and more.
READ DISCLAIMER ALWAYS BEFORE TAKING TRADE DECSION. ALL THE BEST.
Sunday, 25 October 2015
MCX Positional Views 25-Oct-2015
[10/25, 8:21 AM] Arockia: Good morning friends!
[10/25, 8:21 AM] Arockia: Based on my monthly charts:
Crude heading to 2538, 2061, 1866
Alum heading to 91.3, 88.40
Nickel can move to 755 before next fall.
Copper heading to 291, 240.
Lead target 89 n more.
Ng going to 121
Friday, 23 October 2015
CRUDE ANALYSIS 23-Oct-2015
11-Nov-2015 - Update
48.00-50.00/47.89 --> Hit targets 45, 43$.04-Nov-2015 - Present View
8:41 AM IST
CMP 47.89
Main View:
Can Sell crude at cmp or on rise between 48.00-50.00, with max sl 51$ for downside targets 45, 43, 42.5, 41, 38..
Alternate view:
1. Sell NYMEX Crude at cmp 47.89, Max SL 48.40, TGTs: 47.00, 46.65, 46.40.
2. Buy Crude between 47.00-46.15, Max SL 45.5, TGTs: 48.3, 49, 49.5.
3. Sell Crude between 48.00- 50.00, SL Max 51$, TGTs: 45, 43, 42.5, 41, 38.
03-Nov-2015 - Present View
24-Oct-2015 10:10 AM IST
US OIL
As long as USO resisted by 15.31/16.20 I expect to see 12.37 first. Other targets: 14.12, [13.74], 13.37, 13.14, [12.77], 12.54, [12.37] n more. Further 11.66-11.20.As you can see USO broken important supports 14.21/14.16.
23-Oct-2015 8:34 PM IST
Cmp 2937NYMEX Crude
MCX Crude
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO:
If 43.70 supports, we can see 50.90$/3277 again.Monday, 5 October 2015
Friday, 2 October 2015
Crude Analysis 01-Oct-2015 and 02-Oct-2015
Update 06-Oct-2015 - 6:21 PM IST
CMP 46.67As long as 47.06 resists, I expect to see, 45, 43.89, 43.1, 42.62, 41.91, 41.44, 40.72.
05-Oct-2015
03-Oct-2015
02-Oct-2015
CMP 44.59As long as crude resisted by 45.72/47.06 I expect to see 43.70, 43.28, 42.70, 42.35, 42.22, 41.77, 41.19, 40.54, 40.30, 40.04, 39.35.
Trade Idea:
Sell Crude at cmp 44.59 with max SL 45.80/47.10 (max).
Targets: [43.35], 42.2, [41.34], 40.10, [39.35].
Below 37.83, as per my positional view, I expect to see 34, 28, 21.
UPDATE 01-OCT-2015
Today's Calls 02-Oct-2015
Sell Crude between 45.80-46.6, best sell entry between 46.1-46.4, Strict SL 47.10, Targets check my positional targets.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/09/crude-present-view-22-sep-2015.html
Thursday, 1 October 2015
Update 01-Oct-2015
[10/1, 7:30 PM] Arockia: [10/1, 7:27 PM] Arockia: 9/23, 9:10 AM] Arockia: My view for the day:
Sell crude at market open or on rise, max sl 3163, single tgt 2957.
[9/23, 12:50 PM] Arockia: Crude sell can be initiated at cmp 3101, sl 3163, tgt 2958. STRICT SL. All the best.
Hit single target
[10/1, 7:28 PM] Arockia: [9/30, 10:44 AM] Arockia: Buy crude cmp 2964, sl 2919, tgts: 3001, 3048, 3081, 3110.
Hit upto 3081, high 3098
[10/1, 7:28 PM] Arockia: Enjoy dear friends.
[10/1, 7:29 PM] Arockia: Call 3: sell crude between 3080-3113, sl 3163, tgts: 2958, 2901, 2855, 2791.
[10/1, 7:29 PM] Arockia:
[10/1, 8:40 PM] Arockia: 1. 3101 -->> 2958-
2. 2965 -->> 3080+
3. Now 3080 -->> 2980.
Given sell level 2 days back, between 3080-3120 with sl 3163, anyone watched.
Thursday, 24 September 2015
Today's Calls 24-Sep-2015
Sell crude below 44.35, sl 45.1 for 43.37/21, n my positional targets.
Below 44.35 confirms down move.
Above 45.1, I expect to see more up move.
12:00 Noon IST
Buy Copper at CMP 341, SL strict 337.7, TGTs: 343, 345, 347, 351.
Sell Below 337.7, TGTs: 333, 327, 321, 290. All the best.
Wednesday, 23 September 2015
Today's Calls 23-Sep-2015
6:00 am IST
Sell crude at cmp 46.51, sl 46.71, tgts: 45.89, 45.34, 44.55. Big sl 47.05 max n strict. No holding above 47.05.
[9/23, 9:10 AM] Arockia: My view for the day:
Sell crude at market open or on rise, max sl 3163, single tgt 2957.
[9/23, 12:50 PM] Arockia: Crude sell can be initiated at cmp 3101, sl 3163, tgt 2958. STRICT SL. All the best.
Low 2970.
In my group:
[9/23, 9:01 AM] Arockia: My view for the day:
Sell crude at market open or on rise, max sl 3163, single tgt 2957.
[9/23, 10:24 AM] Arockia: Small call: sell crude at cmp 3065/66, sl 3081, tgt 3051, 3038.
[9/23, 10:54 AM] Arockia: I still expect 2957 by eod
[9/23, 11:53 AM] Arockia: My sl hit
[9/23, 11:53 AM] Arockia: Still crude bearish
[9/23, 11:53 AM] Arockia: Sl 3163
[9/23, 12:49 PM] Arockia: Crude sell can be initiated at cmp 3101, sl 3163, tgt 2958. STRICT SL. All the best.
[9/23, 1:04 PM] Arockia: Still no new views from my side. If break 3158, I will check from bigger view.
[9/23, 1:04 PM] Arockia: Ie 48.05$
[9/23, 1:05 PM] Arockia: Coz Mcx n wti mismatch at sometimes
[9/23, 6:47 PM] Arockia: Another up move can be seen above today's high as final up move for big fall???
[9/23, 6:48 PM] Arockia: Or we are already in the start of down move
[9/23, 6:49 PM] Arockia: Any how my sl 3163, n tgt 2658
[9/23, 6:49 PM] Arockia: Sorry
[9/23, 6:49 PM] Arockia: 2958*
[9/23, 7:53 PM] Arockia: Sharp fall can be seen if we get 47.32
[9/23, 8:15 PM] Arockia: Still I am bear
[9/23, 8:40 PM] Arockia: For any sell strict n max sl 3163
[9/23, 8:40 PM] Arockia: No holding above 3163
[9/23, 9:06 PM] Arockia: Crude 3101 -->> 3042. My tgt 2958
[9/23, 9:06 PM] Arockia: Book as per ur comfort.
[9/23, 9:08 PM] Arockia: [9/23, 12:50 PM] Arockia: Crude sell can be initiated at cmp 3101, sl 3163, tgt 2958. STRICT SL. All the best.
[9/23, 9:17 PM] Arockia: H1 big black candle as of now
[9/23, 9:35 PM] Arockia: Crude low 3015 from 3101. Enjoy!!!
[9/23, 9:47 PM] Arockia: As per my view, move not yet over. Take care. Low 3005. My tgt not done. But 90+ pts, enjoy...
[9/23, 9:47 PM] Arockia: Can book or wait as per ur wish. Don't loose profit.
[9/23, 9:51 PM] Arockia: Crudeeeeee. Below 3000, 100+ pts. Anyone holding???
Tuesday, 22 September 2015
Crude Present View 22-Sep-2015
UPDATE 01-OCT-2015
As per my previous analysis, Crude done 45.36, 45.88, High 46.30.
25-Sep-2015: I expect to see reversal between 46-47.2, Can sell with max sl 48.1, if we reach the reversal levels.
Present Chart and its targets:
Targets: 43.21, 42.34-41.9, 41.2 - 39.65, Now for any Sell SL 48.1
Update 25-Sep-2015
CMP 45.07As long as 48.05 holds, I expect to see 42.34, 40.55, 38.55 positionally. For any sell, max sl 48.10.
If Crude supported by 43.70, I expect to see 45.36, 45.88, 46.39, 46.77, 47.1. For any buy, max sl 43.65.
I expect to see reversal between 46-47.2, Can sell with max sl 48.1, if we reach the reversal levels.
Thanks.
22-Sep-2015 - 8:49 PM IST
CMP 43.85/3046.Still I am bearish with Crude.
As long as 49.32/48.41 resists, I expect to see 42.38/21, 42.22, 41.68, 41.19, 40.54. Below 37.80, heavy fall towards 34/28/21$.
Seller's SL strict to 48.45/3215 max.
Will be updating my view with more charts and tfs soon.
Grasim Analysis 20-Sep-2015
Resistances: 3840/4024.85(Historical High of Grasim)
Supports: 3324/3300/3218.
Any side break can be a big move.
Possible Scenario:
I expect to see down move as long as 3840 resists. Because, it has reversed exactly from 76.4 level of previous down move.
But break of that, I expect to big up move and next resistance at 4025.
MA 89 resists as of now. And all my MAs(89,144,233) are above the price.
If I count this down move from 4025 as ABC, I expect to see 3120 (C=A).
As per this wave count,
one can go for sell
at CMP 3496
or between 3550-3710
with Max SL 3850.
Friday, 18 September 2015
Success Stories of my Analysis from 13-May-2014
Here below, I given some of my success stories of my analysis on Index, stocks, currency and commodities. Still lot more available in my blogs and in LinkedIn.
Blogs:
LinkedIn:
Initial Version of Research Report (Elliott Wave Analysis) of Crude Analysis of the DOWNFALL 26-MAR-2015
NIFTY Analysis Updates 12-Sep-2015
CMP 7779
Targets UPTO 7586-7585 done from 8763.
11-Apr-2015 CHART
12-Sep-2015 CHART
11-Apr-2015
CMP 8763
Based on my H4 chart,
As long as Nifty resisted by 9112, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets: 8200, 8180, 8070, 8010, 7940, 7750.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-11-apr-2015.html
21-Apr-2015
CMP 8438
As per my Analysis, we are in Wave 4 correction. As long as 8838/9112 resists, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets are: 8169, 8068, 7990, 7944, 7794, 7743, 7670, 7586, 7468.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-21-apr-2015.html
7-May-2015
Targets: 8265, 8200, 8180, 8169, 8070-8068 (done), 8010, 7995-7990, 7944-7940, [7800-7794], 7750-7743, 7674-7670, [7586-7585], 7473-7468, 7414.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-7-may-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-26-may-2015.html
USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html
Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.
Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish.
01-Oct-2015
12-Aug-2015
Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish. - See more at: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html#sthash.qwPvPbDE.dpuf
USDCHF Long Term Positional Analysis 12-Aug-2015
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun_3.html
01-Jun-2015 9:21 PM IST
CMP 0.9469
Resistances:0.9542/1.0127/1.0238
Supports: 0.9071/0.7867
Trade Ideas:
1. Sell at cmp 0.9469, Max SL 0.9550, TGTs: 0.9307-0.9208.
Made Low 0.9151.
2. Buy between 0.9310-0.9200, Max SL 0.9065, TGTs: 0.950, 0.9648, 0.9721, 0.9818-0.9832.
Made High 0.9902.
3. Sell between 0.9720-0.9850, Max SL 1.0127, TGTs: 0.9550, 0.9100, 0.8990, 0.8890, 0.8673, 0.8600, 0.8529.
Sell Activated at 0.9850 on 12-Aug-2015 10:30 AM IST
4. Buy between 0.8730-0.8400, SL 0.7860, TGTs: 1.0200+.
12-Aug-2015 4:40 PM IST
Present View:
As long as USDCHF resisted by 0.9902/1.0127, I expect to see 0.9071 first.
Other targets: 0.8846, 0.732, 0.8666, 0.8596, 0531, 0.8443...
Above 1.0127, this view is invalid.
TRADE AT YOUR RISK.
EQUITY - TITAN SUCCESS - NSE - Titan Positional Analysis Given on 23-Apr-2015 as on 04-Aug-2015
CMP 396.15
As long as Titan resisted by 424, I expect to see 385 again.
Other targets: 378, 369, 359-356, 343-341, 333, 327, 318-315.
Trade Idea1: Sell at CMP 396 or on Rise between 405-416 with Max SL 424 for the above targets.
Trade Idea 2: If Price goes above 424, Sell on Rise between 425-437, with Max SL 451 for same targets.
23-Apr-2015
04-Aug-2015
TITAN BANGED!!! ALL TARGETS FROM 396.15 TO 315.
THOSE WHO TRADED/WATCHED ENJOY!!!
MCX Copper Positional Analysis SUCCESS - 04-Aug-2014
CMP 333.35
Resistances: 421.20/439.40
PRESENT VIEW:
As long as Copper resisted by 377/422, I expect to see more downside and expecting 326, 291, 281, 273, 249, 245, 228...
PREVIOUS ANALYSES:
Copper did most of targets as the views/analysis given on 12-Oct-2014, 11-Dec-2014.
Targets Given on 12-Oct-2014: 399-397, 392, 381, 374, 370, 364, 345, 325, 318.
Targets Given on 11-Dec-2014: 392, 364, 346, 319, 291, 271, 245.
References:
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/mcx-copper-12-oct-2014.html
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/12/copper-postional-view-11-dec-2014.html
NYMEX Crude Chart for Ideas 15-May-2015
Based on Historical Chart, I expect to see 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5 positionally if 62.57 is the end of WAVE 4 of c of B.
Reversal from any of these levels, 1st target: 147.
Gold Analysis Update 30-Apr-2015 - View Given on 29-Apr-2015
High Risk buy can be initiated at cmp 1178.5 with max sl 1173.5$.
30-Apr-2015 6:39 PM IST
29-Apr-2015
Original Post: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gold-positional-view-29-apr-2015.html
CMP 1210.64Support: 1140/1174.
As long as Gold Resisted by 1215, I expect to see 1206, 1200, 1196, 1191, 1187 on the downside.
Almost ALL TARGETS DONE. LOW as of now 1187.72.
30-Apr-2015
CRUDE, USDCHF, EURUSD AND GBPUSD Views Updates 29-Apr-2015
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
16-Apr-2015 EURUSD 1.0818 -->> 1.0849, 1.0972, 1.1049-1.1066, 1.1109-1.1115 hit
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/eurusd-positional-analysis-16-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
28-Apr-2015 GBPUSD 1.5238 -->> 1.5488.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
28-Apr-2015 CRUDE 56.62 -->> 56.95, 57.22, 57.48, 57.69, 58.38.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/nymex-crude-view-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
ORIGINAL POSTS and CLEAR CHARTS:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/eurusd-view-23-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nymex-crude-analysis-update-29-apr-2015.html
UPDATE: MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015 - 23-Apr-2015
CMP 3216.
As per my Daily Chart, If Crude supported by 2952 I expect to see 3312, [3363], 3423, [3468], 3551, 3603, 3722, 3774, 3871, 4027, 4115, 4148.
Present Chart 23-Apr-2015
S&P 500 25-Aug-2015
21-Aug-2015 (4 days ago)
As long as S&P resisted by 2126/2134, i expect to see 2040 n more down. Support zone: 2016-1810.29-June-2015
If S&P resisted by 2126/2144 I expect to see 2026, 1987, 1950, 1906 in the near term. Thanks.
Present View 25-Aug-2015
CMP 1914.50If S&P supported by 1865, I expect to see 1950 again and further 1980-1990, 2014-2018, 2032-2044, 2060-2070.
WTI Crude Oil Analysis 18-May-2015
CMP 59.82
As per my analysis, we have completed wave 4 from the bigger picture. Now, as long as crude resisted by 61.83/62.57, I expect to see lower levels in crude.
Trade Idea:
One can Sell Crude below 58.1 or at cmp 59.84 or betweeen 60.1-61.1 with SL 61.9/62.6(max).
Targets: 57.8, 57.4, 55.5, 53, 51, 47, 45.5.
Best Sell Entry: 60.8-61.1
Other targets: 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5
Ref: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nymex-crude-chart-for-ideas-15-may-2015.html
As of now, I could see 3-3 moves. So, as per my view, most likely, we may end this down move in a ending diagonal. But let us wait and watch how the market progresses.
This view is invalid Above 62.6. We may see another up move above 62.6, targeting 65, 68, 71.
Gold, Crude, US 30Yr Bond, USDCHF Calls Success 26-Mar-2015
Gold View 20-Mar-2015My First Analysis on US 30Yr. T-Bond 23-Mar-2014
USDCHF Positional Analysis 24-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude View 25-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude 26-Mar-2015
GOLD 1179 --> 1216
US 30Yr. BOND 164.36 --> 165.8
USDCHF 0.9669 --> 0.9515
NYMEX CRUDE
47.1-46.8 --> 51
49.74 --> 51.80
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/gold-crude-us-30yr-bond-usdchf-calls.html