Gold Analysis 08-Apr-2016

CMP: 1236.83
Res: 1244/1284
support: 1208

If Gold resisted by 1244/1284, we can see 1208 again and further, 1194, 1168-1165, 1140-1137, 1120-1100.

Above 1244, we can see 1255, 1261-1265. Break of 1285, bull.

Breakout levels: 1208/1285.

All the best. Thanks.

Read Disclaimer before taking any trade decision.

Gold Analysis 14-Mar-2016

CMP: 1255.
Previous Analysis:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/03/gold-analysis-09-mar-2016.html



Support: 1237.
As long Gold supported by 1237, I expect to see 1284 again and further 1299, 1314, 1323, 1338 max.

For any by max sl 1235 for the above targets.

Gold Analysis 09-Mar-2016

11-Mar-2016 7:18 AM IST

09-Mar-2016 8:08 AM IST

CMP 1254.26

Support: 1250
Resistances: 1279/1282

Previous Analysis:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/03/gold-analysis-03-mar-2016.html

As long Gold resisted by 1282, I expect to see more down fall in Gold.
Targets: 1251-1247, 1236, 1227, 1219, 1203, 1190, 1155.

Trade Idea: Sell Gold at cmp 1254 or on rise, Small SL 1266, Max SL 1283 for the above targets.

This analysis is for study purpose only.
Read Disclaimer always before taking any trading decision.
All the best.

Gold Analysis 03-Mar-2016

04-Mar-2016

03-Mar-View failed and broken 1264. Still my view not changed.

 

CMP 1258.xx

As per the below chart, we are trading in expanded triangle. If my view is correct, I expect to see 11210-1191 again.

03-Mar-2016

CMP 1239.11

Resistances: 1254/1264
Supports: 1224/1211/1190

If gold resisted by 1254/1264, I expect to see 1191 again and further 1181, 1164, 1147.

Above 1264, this view is invalid.

Can sell at CMP with max sl 1264 for the above targets.
Trade at your risk. Read Disclaimer before making any trade decision.

22-26/2Feb/2016 Weekly Calls

22/Feb/2016 5:00 AM IST
Positional view: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/02/wti-crude-cmp-32.html

Sell crude at cmp 31.75, SL 32.3/34.3/35 for 31/29.3/26.3/23/21.21/20.55/19.3/17.8/16.8

5:05 AM IST
Positional view:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/02/gold-analysis-19-feb-2016.html

Sell gold at cmp 1226.xx, SL 1235/1241 ( sl hit on 24th feb) max for 1221 (on 22nd Feb), 1201, 1191, 1161, 1134.

25/Feb/2016 7:08 AM IST

Cmp: 1232.xx

Sell Gold with max SL 1265 for the same targets.

5:08 AM IST
Positional view: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/02/ng-positional-view-19-feb-2016.html

Sell NG at cmp 1.804 SL 1.900/1.980 max  for
[1.746], 1.708,  [1.673], [1.652],  1.564, 1.546, 1.509, [1.491], 1.473.

[2/22, 7:02 AM] Arockia: 22-Feb-2016
Zinc
Cmp 115.85
Res: 118.1/120
As long as zinc supported by 111.7, I expect to see 118.1 first, further (120), 120.9, (122.2), (125.9), 126.5.

[2/22, 7:03 AM] Arockia: Trade idea:
Buy zinc at cmp 115.85 or on dips with max SL 111.7 for 118, 120, 122 (on 22nd Feb), 125.8.

Read Disclaimer before taking any trade decision.
All the best.

Gold Analysis 19-Feb-2016

19-Feb-2016
CMP 1227.46$

SUPPORT ZONE: 1033-680

Supports:1046
Resistances:1264/1385


Main scenario:
As per my Weekly analysis, If gold resisted by 1264, I expect to see 1013, 954, 917 to complete this down move.

If you note on the below chart, Gold done complex correction and topped at 1263 as wave Y.

As per my present view, If gold resisted by 1240/1264, I expect to see down move, 1191 first and further, 1168, 1141 1123, 1113.

 

Present View

Alternate scenario:

If we are in complex correction and if 1046 is the end of wave W, we can expect upside correction towards 1252, 1380, 1482 on the upside.

Trade Idea:

Sell Gold at cmp 1226 with max SL 1241/1265 for 1191, 1168, 1141 1123, 1113

Let us see how this progress.

Previous analysis:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/02/gold-analysis-18-feb-2016.html


This analysis is for study purpose only.
Read Disclaimer always before taking any trading decision.
All ther best.

Gold Analysis 18-Feb 2016

19-Feb2016 5:30 am IST
CMP:
1231
Still I am bearish with gold. Above 1265 this view invalid.
Trade Idea.
Can sell at cmp with max SL 1265 for the tgts.


18-Feb-2016
4:21 PM IST

CMP: 1204.93
As long as Gold resisted by 1215$, I expect to see [1191] again and further [1184/81], 1175, 1160, [1145], 1137, 1128, 1117(level to watch), 1101.

Previous analysis:

18-Feb-2016

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/02/gold-view-18.html
POSITIONAL VIEW:
As long as Gold resisted by 1264 I expect to see 1046$ again and further 1030/991/961/931 as per my previous analysis.

15-Feb-2016

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/02/gold-analysis-15-feb-2016.html
As per my chart,if Gold resisted by 1246/1264, I expect to see 1214, 1185, 1161, 1138....
Trade Idea:
Sell Gold at CMP 1227 or on rise with max sl 1246/1264 for 1214(hit), 1185(made low 1191), 1166/1161, 1138/1134.



Trade Idea:
For any sell max SL can be 1215$ strict.

This analysis is for study purpose only.
Read Disclaimer always before taking any trading decision.
All ther best.

Gold View 18-Feb-2016

CMP 1206.65

Gold resistances: 1383/1264

As long as Gold resisted by 1264 I expect to see 1046$ again and further 1030/991/961/931 as per my previous analysis.

Alternate view:

If Gold supported by 1046$ and if we are in bigger correction, Gold may show 1262$ again and further 1300/1343/1382$...


This chart analysis is for study purpose only.
Read Disclaimer always before taking any trading decision.
All ther best.

Gold Analysis 15-Feb-2016

CMP 1227.xx
Resistances: 1246/1264
Supports: 1057/1047

As per my chart,if Gold resisted by 1246/1264, I expect to see 1214, 1185, 1161, 1138....

Trade Idea:
Sell Gold at CMP 1227 or on rise with max sl 1246/1264 for 1214, 1185, 1166/1161, 1138/1134.

All the best.

Read Disclaimer always before taking any trade decision.

Thanks.

Positoal Views of COMEX/NYMEX 21/22-Nov-2015

Gold 1077.14

Resistance: 1192$
Downside targets: 1065, 1031, 995, 969, 933, 903.
I expect Break of 1064 next fall.

Silver 14.14

Still my previous original view is in place.
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/comex-silver-view-26-oct-2014.html

Crude 41.57

Resistance: 50.92/61.27$
As long as crude resisted by 45.1/48.35/51$, I still expect to see my downside targets and expecting 40.1 first.
Further targets: 38.1, 36.90, 36.1.
Ultimate targets: 41.24, 31.1, 24.5, 22.1, 21$.

Copper 2.0323

Resistance: 2.4910$
Normal target done. Further targets: 1.9547, 1.8363, 1.6475.

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/comex-copper-view-13-oct-2014.html

Natural Gas 2.129

Resistances: 2.279/2.425/2.475
First target: 2.053/2.048, Further targets: 1.926, 1.888, 1.850.

Trade at your Risk. READ DISCLAIMER ALWAYS BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION.
Thanks. All the best.

Success Stories of my Analysis from 13-May-2014

Here below, I given some of my success stories of my analysis on Index, stocks, currency and commodities. Still lot more available in my blogs and  in LinkedIn.

Blogs:

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in

LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=360069485/

 

Initial Version of Research Report (Elliott Wave Analysis) of Crude Analysis of the DOWNFALL 26-MAR-2015

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/initial-version-of-research-report-of.html

 

 NIFTY Analysis Updates 12-Sep-2015

CMP 7779
Targets UPTO  7586-7585 done from 8763.

11-Apr-2015 CHART

12-Sep-2015 CHART

11-Apr-2015
CMP 8763
Based on my H4 chart,
As long as Nifty resisted by 9112, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets: 8200, 8180, 8070, 8010, 7940, 7750.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-11-apr-2015.html

21-Apr-2015
CMP 8438
As per my Analysis, we are in Wave 4 correction. As long as 8838/9112 resists, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets are: 8169, 8068, 7990, 7944, 7794, 7743, 7670, 7586, 7468.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-21-apr-2015.html


7-May-2015
Targets: 8265, 8200, 8180, 8169, 8070-8068 (done), 8010, 7995-7990, 7944-7940, [7800-7794], 7750-7743, 7674-7670, [7586-7585], 7473-7468, 7414.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-7-may-2015.html


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-26-may-2015.html

 

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.

Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish.

 01-Oct-2015

12-Aug-2015

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.
Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish. - See more at: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html#sthash.qwPvPbDE.dpuf

Targets  62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75 HIT.

USDCHF Long Term Positional Analysis 12-Aug-2015

Previous Analysis:

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun_3.html

01-Jun-2015 9:21 PM IST
CMP 0.9469

Resistances:0.9542/1.0127/1.0238
Supports: 0.9071/0.7867

Trade Ideas:
1. Sell at cmp 0.9469, Max SL 0.9550, TGTs: 0.9307-0.9208.
Made Low 0.9151.

2. Buy between 0.9310-0.9200, Max SL 0.9065, TGTs: 0.950, 0.9648, 0.9721, 0.9818-0.9832.
Made High 0.9902.


3. Sell between 0.9720-0.9850, Max SL 1.0127, TGTs: 0.9550, 0.9100, 0.8990, 0.8890, 0.8673, 0.8600, 0.8529.
Sell Activated at 0.9850 on 12-Aug-2015 10:30 AM IST

4. Buy between 0.8730-0.8400, SL 0.7860, TGTs: 1.0200+.

12-Aug-2015 4:40 PM IST

Present View:
As long as USDCHF resisted by 0.9902/1.0127, I expect to see 0.9071 first.
Other targets: 0.8846, 0.732, 0.8666, 0.8596, 0531, 0.8443...

Above 1.0127, this view is invalid.
TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

EQUITY - TITAN SUCCESS - NSE - Titan Positional Analysis Given on 23-Apr-2015 as on 04-Aug-2015

23-Apr-2015
CMP 396.15
As long as Titan resisted by 424, I expect to see 385 again.
Other targets: 378, 369, 359-356, 343-341, 333, 327, 318-315.
Trade Idea1: Sell at CMP 396 or on Rise between 405-416 with Max SL 424 for the above targets.
Trade Idea 2: If Price goes above 424, Sell on Rise between 425-437, with Max SL 451 for same targets.

23-Apr-2015

04-Aug-2015

TITAN BANGED!!! ALL TARGETS FROM 396.15 TO 315.

THOSE WHO TRADED/WATCHED ENJOY!!!

MCX Copper Positional Analysis SUCCESS - 04-Aug-2014

04-Aug-2015
CMP 333.35

Resistances: 421.20/439.40

PRESENT VIEW:
As long as Copper resisted by 377/422, I expect to see more downside and expecting 326, 291, 281, 273, 249, 245, 228...

PREVIOUS ANALYSES:
Copper did most of targets as the views/analysis given on 12-Oct-2014, 11-Dec-2014.
Targets Given on 12-Oct-2014: 399-397, 392, 381, 374, 370, 364, 345, 325, 318.

Targets Given on 11-Dec-2014: 392, 364, 346, 319, 291, 271, 245.

References:
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/mcx-copper-12-oct-2014.html
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/12/copper-postional-view-11-dec-2014.html

NYMEX Crude Chart for Ideas 15-May-2015

LONG TERM VIEW
Based on Historical Chart, I expect to see 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5 positionally if 62.57 is the end of WAVE 4 of c of B.

Reversal from any of these levels, 1st target: 147.

Gold Analysis Update 30-Apr-2015 - View Given on 29-Apr-2015

30-Apr-2015: 7:38. BUY Call Cancelled. Will udpate my view  later.
High Risk buy can be initiated at cmp 1178.5 with max sl 1173.5$.
 
30-Apr-2015 6:39 PM IST

29-Apr-2015

Original Post: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gold-positional-view-29-apr-2015.html

CMP 1210.64
Support: 1140/1174.

As long as Gold Resisted by 1215, I expect to see 1206, 1200, 1196, 1191, 1187 on the downside.

Almost ALL TARGETS DONE. LOW as of now 1187.72.

30-Apr-2015

 

CRUDE, USDCHF, EURUSD AND GBPUSD Views Updates 29-Apr-2015

29-Mar-2015 USDCHF 0.9800 -->> 0.9500, 0.9343 (min) - Made low 0.9345.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
16-Apr-2015 EURUSD 1.0818 -->> 1.0849, 1.0972, 1.1049-1.1066, 1.1109-1.1115 hit
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/eurusd-positional-analysis-16-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
28-Apr-2015 GBPUSD 1.5238 -->> 1.5488.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k

28-Apr-2015 CRUDE 56.62 -->> 56.95, 57.22, 57.48, 57.69, 58.38.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/nymex-crude-view-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
ORIGINAL POSTS and CLEAR CHARTS:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/eurusd-view-23-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nymex-crude-analysis-update-29-apr-2015.html

UPDATE: MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015 - 23-Apr-2015

MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015
CMP 3216.

As per my Daily Chart, If Crude supported by 2952 I expect to see 3312, [3363], 3423, [3468], 3551, 3603, 3722, 3774, 3871, 4027, 4115, 4148.

Present Chart 23-Apr-2015

 

S&P 500 25-Aug-2015

21-Aug-2015 (4 days ago)

As long as S&P resisted by 2126/2134, i expect to see 2040 n more down. Support zone: 2016-1810.

29-June-2015
If S&P resisted by 2126/2144 I expect to see 2026, 1987, 1950, 1906 in the near term. Thanks.

Present View 25-Aug-2015

CMP 1914.50
If S&P supported by 1865, I expect to see 1950 again and further 1980-1990, 2014-2018, 2032-2044, 2060-2070.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/sp-500-analysis-25-august-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k

WTI Crude Oil Analysis 18-May-2015

18-May-2015 7:31 AM IST
CMP 59.82

As per my analysis, we have completed wave 4 from the bigger picture. Now, as long as crude resisted by 61.83/62.57, I expect to see lower levels in crude.


Trade Idea:
One can Sell Crude below 58.1 or at cmp 59.84 or betweeen 60.1-61.1 with SL 61.9/62.6(max).
Targets: 57.8, 57.4, 55.5, 53, 51, 47, 45.5.

Best Sell Entry: 60.8-61.1

Other targets: 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5
Ref: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nymex-crude-chart-for-ideas-15-may-2015.html


As of now, I could see 3-3 moves. So, as per my view, most likely, we may end this down move in a ending diagonal. But let us wait and watch how the market progresses.


This view is invalid Above 62.6. We may see another up move above 62.6, targeting 65, 68, 71.

Gold, Crude, US 30Yr Bond, USDCHF Calls Success 26-Mar-2015

Gold View 20-Mar-2015
My First Analysis on US 30Yr. T-Bond 23-Mar-2014
USDCHF Positional Analysis 24-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude View 25-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude 26-Mar-2015
GOLD 1179 --> 1216
US 30Yr. BOND 164.36 --> 165.8
USDCHF 0.9669 --> 0.9515
NYMEX CRUDE
47.1-46.8 --> 51
49.74 --> 51.80
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/gold-crude-us-30yr-bond-usdchf-calls.html

Gold Positional Analysis 01-Aug-2015

01-Aug-2015
CMP 1094.91

As long as Gold resisted by 1307/1233, I expect to see 1034, 1000, 934, 873, 755 positionally. Reversal from Any of these levels 1st target: 1920.

SUPPORT ZONE: 1035/680.
NOTE: Gold has high possibility of reversal from this support zone.

Will be updating my views on other time frames soon.

NOTE: LONG TERM INVESTERS CAN BUY GOLDAT LOWER LEVELS FOR BIG TARGETS AND CAN ENRICH YOUR GENERATION.

Thanks.

Gold Positional Analysis 01-Jun-2015

CMP 1189.80.
Supports: 1180/1170/1142
Resistance: 1233

Based on my Daily Chart,
As long as Gold Supported by 1142/1170, I expect to see 1225, 1232, 1244/1247, 1256/1259.

If Gold supported by 1180 I expect to see [1198], 1201, 1203, [1206], 1211, [1219].

Upside targets: [1198], 1201, 1203, [1206], 1211, [1219], 1225/1227, 1232/1234, 1244/1247, 1251, 1256/1259.

Trade Ideas:
1. Buy Gold at cmp 1189.80, SL 1185/1180(max) for [1198], 1201, 1203, [1206], 1211, [1219], 1225/1227, 1232/1234, 1244/1247, 1251, 1256/1259.

2. ADVANCED VIEW: Sell Gold between 1240-1260, SL 1308, TGTs: 1180, 1155, 1134, 1089. 1055. (This view will be updated when Gold reaches here).

TRADE AT YOUR RISK. READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKING DECISION.

Gold Analysis 16-May-2015

CMP 1225
Based on my Weekly Chart, we are in last move on the downside targeting minimum of 1060. Normally, ABC correction will take support at wave 4 of the same degree. The span of Wave 4 lies between 1032-680. I expect Gold will take support at this region.

As long as 1308 resists, I expect to see another down move towards 1060$.

As you can see in the chart, wave 3 ended at 1131.43. Wave 4 at 1307.36. And we have started wave 5 from 1307 level. As per my analysis, we are in 3 wave moves to complete this wave 5 as triangle. Wave 'a' ended at 1142.74 and started wave 'b'.

As long as 1142 supports, I expect to see 1225 (completed), 1244, 1258, 1268-1272.


More closer look of Wave B of Wave 5.

Waves a and b of Wave "B" completed as per my view.
Wave a of wave B at 1224.14, and
Wave b of wave B at 1170.25.

Wave c started from 1170.25. As you know, wave c will have 5 waves.
As long as Gold supported by 1170, I expect to see 1251, 1270.

So, as per the above view, upside targets are: 1225 (completed), 1244, 1251, 1258, 1268-1272.


Wave 3 of Wave c of wave B.

As you can see in the above chart, Wave 3 has done 261.8% and completed at 1218.92.

Started wave 4 correction, made new high at 1227 and dropped to 1210.90.

As per the waves guidelines
Wave 5 is often computed by taking either a 38.2% measure or a 61.8% measure of the distance traveled from the start of wave 1 to the end of wave 3.
If Wave 3 had extended, then there is a high chance for wave 5 to be equal to wave 1.

If you see in the chart, wave 5 made high at 1226.20 exactly 100% of wave 1 but it has not yet taken out the recent high 1227.25.


Trade Ideas:
1. As long as Gold supported by 1178, Buy on Dips can be initiated for 1244, 1251, 1258, 1268-1272.
2. Sell on Rise can be initiated between 1245-1275 with max sl 1308 for 1131, 1070 n more... (Long Term Positional View)

Small Trades:
1. Buy between 1218-1214 or Buy above 1227.5 with max sl 1210 for 1230, 1233, 1235.