WTI Crude, MCX Crude Positional View 21-Feb-2016

WTI Crude

CMP 32.08$
Supports:26.04
Resistances: 50.91/62.57


As per my analysis,

Based on Montyly chart, As long as 50.91/62.57, resists, I expect to see 26.21 (done), 20.49$ (Ultimate target) positionally. Further, we may see extended targets as 16.74.

Based on Daily chart, If crude resisted by 34.19/34.80, I expect to see 26.21$ first and 26.04 again. Further, I expect to see, 20.49, 16.74.

Trade Idea:For any sell, Max and Strict SL 34.25/35$ for min 26.3$ and further targets 20.55, 16.89$.

MCX Crude

CMP: 2202
As long as MCX Crude resisted by 2344, I expect to see 1705, 1658-1631, 1509-1491 and further 999/989 Long term positionally.

Trade Idea:
For any Sell SL 2344
Max and Strict SL 2415

Targets: 1705, 1658-1631, 1509-1491 and further 989

This analysis is for study purpose only.
Read Disclaimer always before taking any trading decision.
All the best.

Crude Analysis 05-Feb-2016

CMP 31.57 6:35 AM IST

31.57
NYEX:/WTI:
Sell Crude at cmp 31.57 between  32.50-33 for 29.4, 25.90, 25.50$.

MCX:
Sell crude at cmp 2168 or between 2199-2245 , wit max sl 2283/2343, for 2027,1899, 1863, 1772, 1672, 1589.

Always read disclaimer before taking any trading decisions.




Thanks,
Arockia.

CRUDE ANALYSIS 23-Oct-2015

11-Nov-2015 - Update 

48.00-50.00/47.89 --> Hit targets 45, 43$.

04-Nov-2015 - Present View

8:41 AM IST
CMP 47.89

Main View:
Can Sell crude at cmp or on rise between 48.00-50.00, with max sl 51$ for downside targets 45, 43, 42.5, 41, 38..

Alternate view:
1. Sell NYMEX Crude at cmp 47.89, Max SL 48.40, TGTs: 47.00, 46.65, 46.40.
2. Buy Crude between 47.00-46.15, Max SL 45.5, TGTs: 48.3, 49, 49.5.
3. Sell Crude between 48.00- 50.00, SL Max 51$, TGTs: 45, 43, 42.5, 41, 38.

03-Nov-2015 - Present View

[11/3, 7:04 AM] Arockia: My present view on CRUDE 03-Nov-2015:

1. Sell on rise at cmp 46.30 with max sl 46.75 for 45.61, 45.15, 44.65, 44.15$.

2. Buy between 44.5-43.5, sl 42.45$ for 46.70, 47.6, 48$

3. Sell between 48-50$, sl 51$, tgt 42.5, 41, 38$.

All the best. 

Break of 50.91$ sell is invalid and can show 53$

Break of 42..57 buy is invalid and can see 41/38$.

But I am positionally still bearish.

MCX Chart

24-Oct-2015 10:10 AM IST

US OIL

As long as USO resisted by 15.31/16.20 I expect to see 12.37 first. Other targets: 14.12, [13.74], 13.37, 13.14, [12.77], 12.54, [12.37] n more. Further 11.66-11.20.

As you can see USO broken important supports 14.21/14.16.

23-Oct-2015 8:34 PM IST

Cmp 2937

Sell crude 2937 or on rise SL 3093, tgt 2489.

Best sell entry can be 2950-2990.

Targets: 2710, 2623, 2572, 2489.

This is based on my analysis.

TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

All the best.

NYMEX Crude

As long as Crude resisted by 50.91/47.48, I expect to see [43.46], 42.44, [41.80], 41.44, 40.55, [39.96], 39.62, 39.20, [38.28] n more.

Now for any positional sell, SL can be max 46.15/47.60(max).

MCX Crude

As long as MCX Crude resisted by 3074/3302, I expect to see [2710], 2623, 2572, [2489] n more.

For any sell max SL can be 3091.

ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO:

If 43.70 supports, we can see 50.90$/3277 again.

But, Still I am with Down move view.

This is based on my analysis.

READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKING ANY TRADE DECISION.

ALL THE BEST.

THANKS.

Crude Present View 22-Sep-2015

UPDATE 01-OCT-2015

As per my previous analysis, Crude done  45.36, 45.88, High 46.30.

25-Sep-2015: I expect to see reversal between 46-47.2, Can sell with max sl 48.1, if we reach the reversal levels.

 Present Chart and its targets:

Targets: 43.21, 42.34-41.9, 41.2 - 39.65, Now for any Sell SL 48.1

 Update 25-Sep-2015

CMP 45.07
As long as 48.05 holds, I expect to see 42.34, 40.55, 38.55 positionally. For any sell, max sl 48.10.
If Crude supported by 43.70, I expect to see 45.36, 45.88, 46.39, 46.77, 47.1. For any buy, max sl 43.65.
I expect to see reversal between 46-47.2, Can sell with max sl 48.1, if we reach the reversal levels.
Thanks.

22-Sep-2015 - 8:49 PM IST

CMP 43.85/3046.


Still I am bearish with Crude.
As long as 49.32/48.41 resists, I expect to see 42.38/21, 42.22, 41.68, 41.19, 40.54. Below 37.80, heavy fall towards 34/28/21$.

Seller's SL strict to 48.45/3215 max.

Will be updating my view with more charts and tfs soon.

Success Stories of my Analysis from 13-May-2014

Here below, I given some of my success stories of my analysis on Index, stocks, currency and commodities. Still lot more available in my blogs and  in LinkedIn.

Blogs:

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in

LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=360069485/

 

Initial Version of Research Report (Elliott Wave Analysis) of Crude Analysis of the DOWNFALL 26-MAR-2015

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/initial-version-of-research-report-of.html

 

 NIFTY Analysis Updates 12-Sep-2015

CMP 7779
Targets UPTO  7586-7585 done from 8763.

11-Apr-2015 CHART

12-Sep-2015 CHART

11-Apr-2015
CMP 8763
Based on my H4 chart,
As long as Nifty resisted by 9112, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets: 8200, 8180, 8070, 8010, 7940, 7750.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-11-apr-2015.html

21-Apr-2015
CMP 8438
As per my Analysis, we are in Wave 4 correction. As long as 8838/9112 resists, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets are: 8169, 8068, 7990, 7944, 7794, 7743, 7670, 7586, 7468.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-21-apr-2015.html


7-May-2015
Targets: 8265, 8200, 8180, 8169, 8070-8068 (done), 8010, 7995-7990, 7944-7940, [7800-7794], 7750-7743, 7674-7670, [7586-7585], 7473-7468, 7414.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-7-may-2015.html


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-26-may-2015.html

 

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.

Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish.

 01-Oct-2015

12-Aug-2015

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.
Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish. - See more at: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html#sthash.qwPvPbDE.dpuf

Targets  62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75 HIT.

USDCHF Long Term Positional Analysis 12-Aug-2015

Previous Analysis:

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun_3.html

01-Jun-2015 9:21 PM IST
CMP 0.9469

Resistances:0.9542/1.0127/1.0238
Supports: 0.9071/0.7867

Trade Ideas:
1. Sell at cmp 0.9469, Max SL 0.9550, TGTs: 0.9307-0.9208.
Made Low 0.9151.

2. Buy between 0.9310-0.9200, Max SL 0.9065, TGTs: 0.950, 0.9648, 0.9721, 0.9818-0.9832.
Made High 0.9902.


3. Sell between 0.9720-0.9850, Max SL 1.0127, TGTs: 0.9550, 0.9100, 0.8990, 0.8890, 0.8673, 0.8600, 0.8529.
Sell Activated at 0.9850 on 12-Aug-2015 10:30 AM IST

4. Buy between 0.8730-0.8400, SL 0.7860, TGTs: 1.0200+.

12-Aug-2015 4:40 PM IST

Present View:
As long as USDCHF resisted by 0.9902/1.0127, I expect to see 0.9071 first.
Other targets: 0.8846, 0.732, 0.8666, 0.8596, 0531, 0.8443...

Above 1.0127, this view is invalid.
TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

EQUITY - TITAN SUCCESS - NSE - Titan Positional Analysis Given on 23-Apr-2015 as on 04-Aug-2015

23-Apr-2015
CMP 396.15
As long as Titan resisted by 424, I expect to see 385 again.
Other targets: 378, 369, 359-356, 343-341, 333, 327, 318-315.
Trade Idea1: Sell at CMP 396 or on Rise between 405-416 with Max SL 424 for the above targets.
Trade Idea 2: If Price goes above 424, Sell on Rise between 425-437, with Max SL 451 for same targets.

23-Apr-2015

04-Aug-2015

TITAN BANGED!!! ALL TARGETS FROM 396.15 TO 315.

THOSE WHO TRADED/WATCHED ENJOY!!!

MCX Copper Positional Analysis SUCCESS - 04-Aug-2014

04-Aug-2015
CMP 333.35

Resistances: 421.20/439.40

PRESENT VIEW:
As long as Copper resisted by 377/422, I expect to see more downside and expecting 326, 291, 281, 273, 249, 245, 228...

PREVIOUS ANALYSES:
Copper did most of targets as the views/analysis given on 12-Oct-2014, 11-Dec-2014.
Targets Given on 12-Oct-2014: 399-397, 392, 381, 374, 370, 364, 345, 325, 318.

Targets Given on 11-Dec-2014: 392, 364, 346, 319, 291, 271, 245.

References:
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/mcx-copper-12-oct-2014.html
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/12/copper-postional-view-11-dec-2014.html

NYMEX Crude Chart for Ideas 15-May-2015

LONG TERM VIEW
Based on Historical Chart, I expect to see 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5 positionally if 62.57 is the end of WAVE 4 of c of B.

Reversal from any of these levels, 1st target: 147.

Gold Analysis Update 30-Apr-2015 - View Given on 29-Apr-2015

30-Apr-2015: 7:38. BUY Call Cancelled. Will udpate my view  later.
High Risk buy can be initiated at cmp 1178.5 with max sl 1173.5$.
 
30-Apr-2015 6:39 PM IST

29-Apr-2015

Original Post: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gold-positional-view-29-apr-2015.html

CMP 1210.64
Support: 1140/1174.

As long as Gold Resisted by 1215, I expect to see 1206, 1200, 1196, 1191, 1187 on the downside.

Almost ALL TARGETS DONE. LOW as of now 1187.72.

30-Apr-2015

 

CRUDE, USDCHF, EURUSD AND GBPUSD Views Updates 29-Apr-2015

29-Mar-2015 USDCHF 0.9800 -->> 0.9500, 0.9343 (min) - Made low 0.9345.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
16-Apr-2015 EURUSD 1.0818 -->> 1.0849, 1.0972, 1.1049-1.1066, 1.1109-1.1115 hit
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/eurusd-positional-analysis-16-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
28-Apr-2015 GBPUSD 1.5238 -->> 1.5488.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k

28-Apr-2015 CRUDE 56.62 -->> 56.95, 57.22, 57.48, 57.69, 58.38.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/nymex-crude-view-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
ORIGINAL POSTS and CLEAR CHARTS:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/eurusd-view-23-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nymex-crude-analysis-update-29-apr-2015.html

UPDATE: MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015 - 23-Apr-2015

MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015
CMP 3216.

As per my Daily Chart, If Crude supported by 2952 I expect to see 3312, [3363], 3423, [3468], 3551, 3603, 3722, 3774, 3871, 4027, 4115, 4148.

Present Chart 23-Apr-2015

 

S&P 500 25-Aug-2015

21-Aug-2015 (4 days ago)

As long as S&P resisted by 2126/2134, i expect to see 2040 n more down. Support zone: 2016-1810.

29-June-2015
If S&P resisted by 2126/2144 I expect to see 2026, 1987, 1950, 1906 in the near term. Thanks.

Present View 25-Aug-2015

CMP 1914.50
If S&P supported by 1865, I expect to see 1950 again and further 1980-1990, 2014-2018, 2032-2044, 2060-2070.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/sp-500-analysis-25-august-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k

WTI Crude Oil Analysis 18-May-2015

18-May-2015 7:31 AM IST
CMP 59.82

As per my analysis, we have completed wave 4 from the bigger picture. Now, as long as crude resisted by 61.83/62.57, I expect to see lower levels in crude.


Trade Idea:
One can Sell Crude below 58.1 or at cmp 59.84 or betweeen 60.1-61.1 with SL 61.9/62.6(max).
Targets: 57.8, 57.4, 55.5, 53, 51, 47, 45.5.

Best Sell Entry: 60.8-61.1

Other targets: 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5
Ref: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nymex-crude-chart-for-ideas-15-may-2015.html


As of now, I could see 3-3 moves. So, as per my view, most likely, we may end this down move in a ending diagonal. But let us wait and watch how the market progresses.


This view is invalid Above 62.6. We may see another up move above 62.6, targeting 65, 68, 71.

Gold, Crude, US 30Yr Bond, USDCHF Calls Success 26-Mar-2015

Gold View 20-Mar-2015
My First Analysis on US 30Yr. T-Bond 23-Mar-2014
USDCHF Positional Analysis 24-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude View 25-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude 26-Mar-2015
GOLD 1179 --> 1216
US 30Yr. BOND 164.36 --> 165.8
USDCHF 0.9669 --> 0.9515
NYMEX CRUDE
47.1-46.8 --> 51
49.74 --> 51.80
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/gold-crude-us-30yr-bond-usdchf-calls.html

Crude Calls Update -Calls Given on 27-May-2015, 26-May-2015

28-May-2015 9:53 PM IST

Sell Crude at cmp 56.87 or between 57.10-57.30 if you get, Max SL 57.45, TGTs: 56.50, 56.3, 55.95 and other positional targets.

Sell Crude at cmp 3650 or between 3665-3675, Max SL 3680, TGTs: 3625, 3589, 3555, 3534, 3501.

SL HIT.

 

 Today's Calls 27-May-2015, 26-May-2015

Original Posts:
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/todays-calls-26-may-2015.html
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/todays-calls-27-may-2015.html

Today's Calls 27-May-2015

12:14 PM IST
Sell Crude at cmp 3771, Strict SL 3783(max) TGTs: 3755, 3734, 3721, 3713, 3701, 3689, 3655, 3634, 3621. All the best.
My sl 3783 gone

[5/27, 3:14 PM] ckacraj: Still i expect to see 3755,3734,3721,3713,3701,3689,3655,3634,3621 in crude.
Now sl is 3791.

Today's Calls 26-May-2015

5:33 AM IST:
CMP 59.84
As long as Crude resisted by 60.22/60.93, I expect 59.30, [59.1], 58.93, 58.39, [57.95], 57.68, [57.25], 56.79, [56.08] n more.
For any sell, SL can be 60.25.

Chart on 26-May-2015 5:33 AM IST

Present Chart 28-May-2015 6:30 PM IST

UPDATE: MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015 - 23-Apr-2015

MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015
CMP 3216.

As per my Daily Chart, If Crude supported by 2952 I expect to see 3312, [3363], 3423, [3468], 3551, 3603, 3722, 3774, 3871, 4027, 4115, 4148.

Present Chart 23-Apr-2015