Nifty Analysis 20-Mar-2016

CMP 7596
Supports: 7522/7475/7400

As long as the above levels supports, I expect to see 7666-7675 first. Further 7760 7845 can be seen.

Nifty Analysis 04-Feb-2016 to 01-Mar-2016

01-Mar-21016 9:28 AM IST
CMP: 7057
Low: 6822

04-Feb-2016
CMP 7408
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/02/nifty-positional-analysis-04-feb-2016.html
Targets expected: 7237/7199, 7024, 6821 (almost hit, made low 6822), 6748, 6341, 6285.
If we reach 6285-5879(watchable area.) Mostly won't.

Chart on 04-Feb-2016

Chart on 01-Mar-2016 

Next Target: 6748, 6341, 6285.

NIfty Positional Analysis 04-Feb-2016

As per this chart,

Resistance: 9112
Support Zone 6341-4534.

Retracement Levels: 8033, 7362 (normal target done here.), 6821, 6285, 5879, 5614/5535, 4534 (100%).


As per the above chart, Nifty is making complex correction and as per my view, I expect this to be a  w-y-z pattern.

So, as per my view, we will completing this correction as normal abc of Y pattern.

If so, I expect to see 5 waves in wave c which may end up as ending digonal.

Targets expected: 7237/7199, 7024, 6821, 6748, 6341, 6285.

If we reach 6285-5879(watchable area.) Mostly won't.

Thanks,
Arockia.


Read Disclaimer before any trading decisions. This can be used for study purpose.

Success Stories of my Analysis from 13-May-2014

Here below, I given some of my success stories of my analysis on Index, stocks, currency and commodities. Still lot more available in my blogs and  in LinkedIn.

Blogs:

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in

LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=360069485/

 

Initial Version of Research Report (Elliott Wave Analysis) of Crude Analysis of the DOWNFALL 26-MAR-2015

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/initial-version-of-research-report-of.html

 

 NIFTY Analysis Updates 12-Sep-2015

CMP 7779
Targets UPTO  7586-7585 done from 8763.

11-Apr-2015 CHART

12-Sep-2015 CHART

11-Apr-2015
CMP 8763
Based on my H4 chart,
As long as Nifty resisted by 9112, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets: 8200, 8180, 8070, 8010, 7940, 7750.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-11-apr-2015.html

21-Apr-2015
CMP 8438
As per my Analysis, we are in Wave 4 correction. As long as 8838/9112 resists, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets are: 8169, 8068, 7990, 7944, 7794, 7743, 7670, 7586, 7468.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-21-apr-2015.html


7-May-2015
Targets: 8265, 8200, 8180, 8169, 8070-8068 (done), 8010, 7995-7990, 7944-7940, [7800-7794], 7750-7743, 7674-7670, [7586-7585], 7473-7468, 7414.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-7-may-2015.html


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-26-may-2015.html

 

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.

Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish.

 01-Oct-2015

12-Aug-2015

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.
Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish. - See more at: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html#sthash.qwPvPbDE.dpuf

Targets  62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75 HIT.

USDCHF Long Term Positional Analysis 12-Aug-2015

Previous Analysis:

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun_3.html

01-Jun-2015 9:21 PM IST
CMP 0.9469

Resistances:0.9542/1.0127/1.0238
Supports: 0.9071/0.7867

Trade Ideas:
1. Sell at cmp 0.9469, Max SL 0.9550, TGTs: 0.9307-0.9208.
Made Low 0.9151.

2. Buy between 0.9310-0.9200, Max SL 0.9065, TGTs: 0.950, 0.9648, 0.9721, 0.9818-0.9832.
Made High 0.9902.


3. Sell between 0.9720-0.9850, Max SL 1.0127, TGTs: 0.9550, 0.9100, 0.8990, 0.8890, 0.8673, 0.8600, 0.8529.
Sell Activated at 0.9850 on 12-Aug-2015 10:30 AM IST

4. Buy between 0.8730-0.8400, SL 0.7860, TGTs: 1.0200+.

12-Aug-2015 4:40 PM IST

Present View:
As long as USDCHF resisted by 0.9902/1.0127, I expect to see 0.9071 first.
Other targets: 0.8846, 0.732, 0.8666, 0.8596, 0531, 0.8443...

Above 1.0127, this view is invalid.
TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

EQUITY - TITAN SUCCESS - NSE - Titan Positional Analysis Given on 23-Apr-2015 as on 04-Aug-2015

23-Apr-2015
CMP 396.15
As long as Titan resisted by 424, I expect to see 385 again.
Other targets: 378, 369, 359-356, 343-341, 333, 327, 318-315.
Trade Idea1: Sell at CMP 396 or on Rise between 405-416 with Max SL 424 for the above targets.
Trade Idea 2: If Price goes above 424, Sell on Rise between 425-437, with Max SL 451 for same targets.

23-Apr-2015

04-Aug-2015

TITAN BANGED!!! ALL TARGETS FROM 396.15 TO 315.

THOSE WHO TRADED/WATCHED ENJOY!!!

MCX Copper Positional Analysis SUCCESS - 04-Aug-2014

04-Aug-2015
CMP 333.35

Resistances: 421.20/439.40

PRESENT VIEW:
As long as Copper resisted by 377/422, I expect to see more downside and expecting 326, 291, 281, 273, 249, 245, 228...

PREVIOUS ANALYSES:
Copper did most of targets as the views/analysis given on 12-Oct-2014, 11-Dec-2014.
Targets Given on 12-Oct-2014: 399-397, 392, 381, 374, 370, 364, 345, 325, 318.

Targets Given on 11-Dec-2014: 392, 364, 346, 319, 291, 271, 245.

References:
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/mcx-copper-12-oct-2014.html
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/12/copper-postional-view-11-dec-2014.html

NYMEX Crude Chart for Ideas 15-May-2015

LONG TERM VIEW
Based on Historical Chart, I expect to see 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5 positionally if 62.57 is the end of WAVE 4 of c of B.

Reversal from any of these levels, 1st target: 147.

Gold Analysis Update 30-Apr-2015 - View Given on 29-Apr-2015

30-Apr-2015: 7:38. BUY Call Cancelled. Will udpate my view  later.
High Risk buy can be initiated at cmp 1178.5 with max sl 1173.5$.
 
30-Apr-2015 6:39 PM IST

29-Apr-2015

Original Post: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gold-positional-view-29-apr-2015.html

CMP 1210.64
Support: 1140/1174.

As long as Gold Resisted by 1215, I expect to see 1206, 1200, 1196, 1191, 1187 on the downside.

Almost ALL TARGETS DONE. LOW as of now 1187.72.

30-Apr-2015

 

CRUDE, USDCHF, EURUSD AND GBPUSD Views Updates 29-Apr-2015

29-Mar-2015 USDCHF 0.9800 -->> 0.9500, 0.9343 (min) - Made low 0.9345.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
16-Apr-2015 EURUSD 1.0818 -->> 1.0849, 1.0972, 1.1049-1.1066, 1.1109-1.1115 hit
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/eurusd-positional-analysis-16-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
28-Apr-2015 GBPUSD 1.5238 -->> 1.5488.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k

28-Apr-2015 CRUDE 56.62 -->> 56.95, 57.22, 57.48, 57.69, 58.38.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/nymex-crude-view-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
ORIGINAL POSTS and CLEAR CHARTS:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/eurusd-view-23-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nymex-crude-analysis-update-29-apr-2015.html

UPDATE: MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015 - 23-Apr-2015

MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015
CMP 3216.

As per my Daily Chart, If Crude supported by 2952 I expect to see 3312, [3363], 3423, [3468], 3551, 3603, 3722, 3774, 3871, 4027, 4115, 4148.

Present Chart 23-Apr-2015

 

S&P 500 25-Aug-2015

21-Aug-2015 (4 days ago)

As long as S&P resisted by 2126/2134, i expect to see 2040 n more down. Support zone: 2016-1810.

29-June-2015
If S&P resisted by 2126/2144 I expect to see 2026, 1987, 1950, 1906 in the near term. Thanks.

Present View 25-Aug-2015

CMP 1914.50
If S&P supported by 1865, I expect to see 1950 again and further 1980-1990, 2014-2018, 2032-2044, 2060-2070.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/sp-500-analysis-25-august-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k

WTI Crude Oil Analysis 18-May-2015

18-May-2015 7:31 AM IST
CMP 59.82

As per my analysis, we have completed wave 4 from the bigger picture. Now, as long as crude resisted by 61.83/62.57, I expect to see lower levels in crude.


Trade Idea:
One can Sell Crude below 58.1 or at cmp 59.84 or betweeen 60.1-61.1 with SL 61.9/62.6(max).
Targets: 57.8, 57.4, 55.5, 53, 51, 47, 45.5.

Best Sell Entry: 60.8-61.1

Other targets: 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5
Ref: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nymex-crude-chart-for-ideas-15-may-2015.html


As of now, I could see 3-3 moves. So, as per my view, most likely, we may end this down move in a ending diagonal. But let us wait and watch how the market progresses.


This view is invalid Above 62.6. We may see another up move above 62.6, targeting 65, 68, 71.

Gold, Crude, US 30Yr Bond, USDCHF Calls Success 26-Mar-2015

Gold View 20-Mar-2015
My First Analysis on US 30Yr. T-Bond 23-Mar-2014
USDCHF Positional Analysis 24-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude View 25-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude 26-Mar-2015
GOLD 1179 --> 1216
US 30Yr. BOND 164.36 --> 165.8
USDCHF 0.9669 --> 0.9515
NYMEX CRUDE
47.1-46.8 --> 51
49.74 --> 51.80
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/gold-crude-us-30yr-bond-usdchf-calls.html

NIFTY Analysis Updates 12-Sep-2015

CMP 7779
Targets UPTO  7586-7585 done from 8763.

11-Apr-2015 CHART

12-Sep-2015 CHART

11-Apr-2015
CMP 8763
Based on my H4 chart,
As long as Nifty resisted by 9112, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets: 8200, 8180, 8070, 8010, 7940, 7750.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-11-apr-2015.html

21-Apr-2015
CMP 8438
As per my Analysis, we are in Wave 4 correction. As long as 8838/9112 resists, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets are: 8169, 8068, 7990, 7944, 7794, 7743, 7670, 7586, 7468.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-21-apr-2015.html


7-May-2015
Targets: 8265, 8200, 8180, 8169, 8070-8068 (done), 8010, 7995-7990, 7944-7940, [7800-7794], 7750-7743, 7674-7670, [7586-7585], 7473-7468, 7414.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-7-may-2015.html


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-26-may-2015.html

NIFTY Analysis 26-May-2015

03-Jun-2015

Hit 8333, 8285, 8238, 8181. Low 8089. My next target was 8086.

 

 27-May-2015

9:07 AM IST

 Up move view failed. But the main view is still in place and reached 8285.

 

 26-May-2015

Update 7:59 PM IST

CMP: 8362
Nifty - As long as resisted by 8484, I expect 8333, 8285, 8238, 8181, 8086, 7993. Below 8300 more weak.

Nifty Analysis 7-May-2015

Still I expect to see more down move in NIFTY.
Previous Posts:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-11-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-21-apr-2015.html


07-May-2015

21-Apr-2015

 

11-Apr-2015

Targets: 8265, 8200, 8180, 8169, 8070-8068 (done), 8010, 7995-7990, 7944-7940, [7800-7794], 7750-7743, 7674-7670, [7586-7585], 7473-7468, 7414.

Indices Long Term Positionla View 30-Apr-2015

NIFTY

CMP 8231.
But there is lot of confusions with Nifty chart. Have labelled my chart one possibility as per my view. Let us see how this progresses.
I still expect to see 8070, 8000, 7940/7910.

Hang Seng

CMP: 28386
Support: 23634
Based on my Weekly Chart,
As long as 23634 supports, I expect to see 29000, 29470, 30400-30500-30600.

DAX30

13-May-2015

CMP 11577.
Support: 11170; Resistance: 12430 As long as 11170 supports, I expect to see one more up move towards [11800]/11940/12080/12150. If resisted by 12430 and any reversal from the above levels, I expect see again 11170 and below to that 10880/10700/10410.
Present Chart: 19-May-2015

Nikkei:

15-Apr-2015
7:13 AM IST
Above 20050, I expect to see 20200, 20400-20460. Support 18930.

NIFTY Positional View 21-Apr-2015

CMP 8438

As per my Analysis, we are in Wave 4 correction. As long as 8838/9112 resists, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets are: 8169, 8068, 7990, 7944, 7794, 7743, 7670, 7586, 7468.

Note: Wave 4 normal retracements are 23.6%, 38.2%.

NIFTY Positional View 11-Apr-2015

CMP 8763
Based on my H4 chart,
As long as Nifty resisted by 9112, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets: 8200, 8180, 8070, 8010, 7940, 7750.

NIFTY View Update (View Given on 1-Apr-2015, 6-Apr-2015) 9-Apr-2015

1-Apr-2015
As long as Nifty Resisted by 8550, I expect 8440, 8400, 8375. Now 8483.
If Nifty supported by 8265, I expect reversal towards 8700/8750.
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-view-1-apr-2015.html

6-Apr-2015
Nifty Now: 8586. Breakout Levels: 8597/8567. Above 8597, I expect to see: 8610, 8640, 8680. Below 8567, I expect 8555, 8530, 8490.
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/todays-views-6-apr-2015.html

Present Chart 9-Apr-2015

NIFTY Index View 04-Aug-2014.

As per my Analysis, If Nifty restricted by 7834, I expect big down move.

Short term I expect 7608, 7555, 7522, 7470, 7344.

Long term: 7241, 7041, 6874, 6796.

NIFTY View 30-July-2014

As per my Analysis, I expect Nifty to go up further towards 7900.
But if it crosses, 7718/7700, we will see 7560, 7390.
As long as 7718 holds support we will see up move only. If up move happens, then after this up move there will be big fall.

As long as 7718 holds support, buy on dips is the strategy.

CMP 7736.

NIFTY

If 7720 restricts, we may see 7470, 7300, 7000 again. But if it breaks 7720, upmove. Now I expect upmove 7579, 7600, 7615-7620 with base support at 7460.