Today's Calls 31-Mar-2015

10:37 AM
Breakout Levels: 387/382.6.
Above 387, I expect: 389, 393.50.
Below 382.60, I expect: 380.3, 376.

1:03 PM
Now Sell at cmp 383.10 OR ON RISE with MAX SL 387 for targets: 381.50,  380.3, 379, 377, 376. CMP 383.10.

[3/31, 7:04 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Small risk sell crude cmp 3019, sl 3030, tgt 2980. Made low only 3012.

[3/31, 7:06 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Or buy above 3030, sl 2985, TGTs: 3055, 3095, 3140, 3170. Now Buyers SL can be 3010/2985. Made High 3055.

8:38 PM

Sell Below 3010, Max SL 3056, for 2995, 2980, 2965, 2940.
High Risk Call: Sell crude between 3032-3045, Max SL 3056 Targets:  3012  n other targets in the previous call.

9:23 pm

Buy above 3057, sl 3000, tgt: 3095, 3140, 3170+.

NEVER HOLD IF SL HITS. TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

Today's Calls 30-Mar-2015

6:30 PM
Sell Crude
Nymex at cmp 48.22 or on rise, SL 48.80, TGT: 47.6, 47.3, 47, 46.6.
MCX at cmp 3038 or on rise, SL 3075, TGT: 2995, 2964, 2935, 2905.

Today's call hit sl. Now we may see 49.10, 49.60, but no calls. No more calls for the day!!!

USDCHF Positional Analysis 29-Mar-2015

Update 07-May-2015

Update: 3-Mar-2015

5:52 AM IST

Still I expect to see another up move, but now for any buy sl is 0.9480. Still I prefer buy on dips with max sl 0.9480 for other targets above 0.9740.

Below 0.9480, sell can be initiated with sl 0.9760. Advanced view. Sl will be modified if this trade activated.

As long as USDCHF resisted by 1.0127/1.0240, I expect to see 0.9343 (min) - [[ 0.9110 ]] - 0.8550 (max).

Main Trade Idea: Sell On Rise Between 0.9800-1.0020, Max SL 1.0140. TGTs: 0.9500, 0.9343 (min) - [[ 0.9110 ]] - 0.8550 (max).

 

If USDCHF supported by 0.9550, I expected to see 0.9680, 0.9800, 0.9890, 0.9950, 1.0015.

 

Trade Idea 1: CMP 0.9632, Max SL 0.9550, TGTs:0.9680, 0.9800, 0.9890, 0.9950, 1.0015.
SL Modified on 6-APR-2015 to 0.9475.

Trade Idea 2: Sell On Rise Between 0.9800-1.0020, Max SL 1.0140. TGTs: 0.9500, 0.9343 (min) - [[ 0.9110 ]] - 0.8550 (max).

Trade Idea 3: Sell below 0.9490 on Rise if Price goes below 0.9490.

Trade Idea 4: Buy above 1.0135 or on dips if price goes above 0.0130.

As per my analysis, I prefer Trade Ideas 1 & 2.

6-Apr-2015
11:30 AM IST BUY USDCHF at cmp 0.952, SL 0.9475, TGTs: 0.9565, 0.9580, 0.9610, 0.9625, 0.9645 and Other targets.

TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

Gold, Crude, US 30Yr Bond, USDCHF Calls Success 26-Mar-2015

Gold View 20-Mar-2015

My First Analysis on US 30Yr. T-Bond 23-Mar-2014

USDCHF Positional Analysis 24-Mar-2015

NYMEX Crude View 25-Mar-2015

NYMEX Crude 26-Mar-2015

GOLD 1179 --> 1216
US 30Yr. BOND 164.36 --> 165.8
USDCHF 0.9669 --> 0.9515
NYMEX CRUDE
47.1-46.8 --> 51
49.74 --> 51.80
 

GOLD 1179 --> 1216

 

US 30Yr. BOND 164.36 --> 165.8

 

USDCHF 0.9669 --> 0.9515

NYMEX CRUDE
47.1-46.8 --> 51

49.74 --> 51.80

Today's Calls 26-Mar-2015

12:20 PM IST
Risky Buy Crude at cmp 3226, SL 3218, TGT: 3255, 3280 n more...
1:34PM: HIGH 3368
Sell Below 3215, SL 3245, TGT: 3195, 3160 n more...

5:15PM IST
RISKY Buy Crude at CMP 51.36 or between 51.18-51, Max SL 50.85, TGT: 51.48, 51.65, 51.85, 52, 52.10, 52.47. Above 52.47 Bull. Check my positional Chart for other targets.

Risky Buy Crude between 3240-3230, or above 3258, Max SL 3218, TGTs: 3257, 3265, 3270, 3278, 3291, 3302, 3310, 3368, 3400+++.

RISKY BUY SL HIT.
I am still expecting up move as long as 48.7 holds support.

Initial Version of Research Report of Crude Analysis of the DOWNFALL 26-MAR-2015

This is the inital version of my deep analysis with the Elliott  Wave patterns, Fibo and Time duration taken by Crude Fall.

I am using GCI MT4 for Data and I am starting my wave count of Wave 1 of C from 112.21.

NOTE: I am considering 43.58 as end of Wave 3

1. As per my Monthly chart,
Wave 1 took 5 months
Wave 2 took 5 months
Wave 3 took 8 months

2. As per my Weekly Chart,
Wave 1 took 20 weeks
Wave 2 took 22 weeks
Wave 3 took 34 weeks

3. As per my Daily Chart,
Wave 1 took 116 days (adding 116 it comes 8)
Wave 2 took 133 days (7)
Wave 3 took 196 days (7)

4. Now I consider Wave 3 of Wave C starting from 107.67 and It is is extended.
As per Wave I, wave III extended more than 300% (44.71) and made low of 43.58.
As per Wave 1 of Wave I, wave 2 extended more than 2.618% (48.38) and made low of 43.58.

5. As per wave extension characteristics:
EXTENSIONS
— usually appear in one of three impulse waves
— occur in one and only one of the impulse waves
— are always fives themselves, so may also contain extension
— subdivisions are of same amplitude and duration of main waves

As per this chart, wave 3 of Wave III extended. And i shown their length in the chart. If still wave 3 is not end, then as per (same amplitude), it may go down to 40$.

But some confusions are there with this chart. Because, I could get only 4 waves, and the duration differs I suppose.

6. As per my view, Wave 3 ended at 43.58 and we started complex correction, as per alternation. If so, Wave 4 will make new low in BEAR market and it made low 42.42 (previous low 43.58 wave 3 end).

Now any break of 52.39, I consider, we have started impulse up move which may target 54.22 first and 58.65-59.44.
As per my understanding, wave 4 can make 23.6% retracement of wave 3.


Now comes the fib numbers as per price.
W I1 12.21 (4+3 = 7)
W II 91.24 (10+6 = 16 = 7)
W III 107.67 (8+13 = 21)

Wave 1 of W III - 89.89 (17 + 17 = 34)
Wave 2 of W III - 94.89 (13 + 17 = 30 = 3)
Wave 3 of W III - 43.58 (7+13 = 20)

Wave 4 of WIII
Wave a or x - 54.22 (9+4 = 13)
Wave b or y - 42.42 (6+6 = 12 = 3).

Now, As per my view, If crude breaks 52.39/54.22, I expect to see 58.65 - 59.44.


If you are happy about this analysis, please let me know your comments. Still I am doing my deep analysis and finding all patterns as per wave rules & guidelines.

Will update you soon with all my charts.



1. HIGH LEVEL

2. Wave3 - 300%

3. WAVE 3 - 5 waves

4. W3-3-233%

5. W3-1-5 waves

6.1 Alternation

6a Flat-3-3-5

6b Zigzag-5-3-5

7. Equality

8. Triangle

9. Ending Diagonal

 

This is for LEARNING PURPOSE ONLY. THESE CHARTS AND ANALYSIS is COPYRIGHTED.

Thanks & Regards,
Chinnappa.
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in

NYMEX Crude 26-Mar-2015

CMP: 49.74 Targets: 50.59, 51, 51.80, 53, 53.65


PRESENT CHART:

TARGETS 50.59, 51, 51.80 DONE.


9:05PM IST
Present View:

 

NYMEX Crude View 25-Mar-2015

As per my view, Crude is trading in a triangle.
Support: 47
Resistance: 48.55
If the trendline supports, I expect to see 47.9, 48.53, 48.9, 49.4, 50.55, 51.
Break below the trendline, I expect to see 46.8, 46.65, 46.3, 45.5, 44.9, 44.3.

Trade Idea:
Buy Nymex Crude between 47.1-46.8, Strict SL 46.6, TGTs: 47.9, 48.53, 48.9, 49.4, 50.55, 51.

Check below my charts on live analysis:
 

FIRST TARGET 47.9 HIT FROM 47.1.
 Targets 47.9, 48.53, 48.9, 49.4 done.

Present Chart:

 


As per my analysis, I am still expect to see this triangle as leading triangle (wave4(wave c(wave1)).

TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

Today's Calls 25-Mar-2015

10:09 AM
Sell Crude at cmp 2980, SL 3017, TGT: 2965, 2955, 2938, 2912, 2870.

[3/25, 12:52 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Crude next support 46.65

[3/25, 12:53 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Risk takers can buy at 47-47.1, with strict sl 46.6, tgt 48, 49$

[3/25, 4:58 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Buy crude between 2980-2965, sl 2950, tgt 3000, 3025, 3065, 3100+++

[3/25, 4:59 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Or at cmp 2984.

TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

Market Research Analysis

From today (25-Mar-2015), I will be posting my analysis on Commodities/Indices/Currency/Stocks/ETFs/Bonds, wherever I find good opportunity for trade.

Enjoy Visiting my blog.


Chinnappa
 ckacraj@yahoo.com
+91-9962180534
Old Blog: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=360069485/

USDCHF Positional Analysis 24-Mar-2015

USDCHF Positional Analysis based on Daily/H4 TFs
Swing Low: 0.7867
Swing High: 1.0240
Retracement Levels: 0.9596, 0.9264, 0.8998, 0.8733, 0.8532, 0.8351

Resistances: 0.9981/1.0127/1.0240
Supports: 0.9596/0.7867.

As of now, USDCHF, broken important support level 0.9630.

As per my analysis, If USDCHF resisted, 0.9981/1.0127/1.0240, I expect more down fall, and my targets are:
0.9590 (done), 0.9512, [0.9439], [0.9322], 0.9264, 0.9130, [0.9000], 0.8940, [0.8823], [0.8733], 0.8631, [0.8532 level to watch, if reaches here], 0.8514, 0.8351, 0.8325.

For any SELL, now 0.9985/1.0130 (max). POSITIONAL VIEW.
As per my today's call
6:43 AM
SELL USDCHF at cmp 0.9669 or between 0.9870-1.0020, max sl: 1.0140, TGTs: 0.9590, 0.9515, 0.9440,[0.9321], 0.9262, 0.8997, [0.8830],0.8731, 0.8530. POSITIONAL. Low 0.9570, 4:00 PM IST.
First target already hit.  6:00PM IST 0.9557.


PRESENT CHART 26-MAR-2015

 

SELL ON RISE IS THE STRATEGY AS PER MY VIEW.
TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

Today's Calls 24-Mar-2015

6:37 AM IST
Support: 45.3, Resistance: 47.6
SELL NYMEX Crude at cmp 47.20 or between 47.35-47.50, Max SL 47.65. TGT: 47, 46.8, 46.5, 46.2, 46. Made Low 46.65.

6:43 AM
SELL USDCHF at cmp 0.9669 or between 0.9870-1.0020, max sl: 1.0140, TGTs: 0.9590, 0.9515, 0.9440,[0.9321], 0.9262, 0.8997, [0.8830],0.8731, 0.8530. POSITIONAL. Low 0.9570, 4:00 PM IST.

[3/24, 12:29 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Sell crude cmp 2642, strict sl 2656, tgt 2615, 2900

[3/24, 2:10 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Buy crude at cmp 2965 or on dips between 2955-2940, sl 2923, tgt: 2978, 2990, 3025, 3065. Made high 3038.

[3/24, 5:04 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Now crude may go to 47.35.

[3/24, 5:06 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): cmp 47.8

[3/24, 6:12 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Crude new high possible

[3/24, 6:12 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Reversed from 50% retracement level

[3/24, 6:12 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Risk takers buy with sl 3000, cmp 3028

[3/24, 6:13 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Tgts: 3038, 3065, 3080, 3102, 3155, 3250. Made high:3047

8:05 PM IST
Risky Buy Crude cmp 47.55, SL 47.20, TGT: 47.70, 47.95, 48.15. (high 47.98)
Sell Between 47.95-48.4, SL 48.60, TGT: 47.25, 46.5. (low 47.14)

Today's Calls 23-Mar-2015

11:07 AM Today's Calls:
Buy Copper at cmp 383.80, SL 381, TGT 385, 387.

Buy NG at cmp 170.60, SL 169.2, TGT 1-3-5-8pts. Sl hit.

Risky Buy Crude at cmp 2891, SL as long as NYMEX holds 45.75, TGT 2930, 2950, 2980, 2900, 3000. If SL safe. Exit crude buy at cmp 2889.

[3/23, 12:43 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Sell crude with sl 2891, book 10-20-30-50pts

[3/23, 12:43 PM] kacraj (mcx raj): Cmp 2881, crude made low 2859.


3:13 PM
Buy NYMEX Crude CMP 45.60 or on dips between 45.55-45.40, Strict SL 45.3 max, TGT: 45.8, 46.1, 46.35, 46.55, 46.85. Above 47.45 Upside Breakout. Made high 47.76 as of now (7:05 PM IST) - ALL TARGETS DONE.

Buy Crude between 2870-2860, SL 2858, TGT: 2880, 2890, 2910, 2930. Small tgt 2880 hit. ALL TARGETS DONE.

9:45 PM
Today's Last Call:
SELL Crude only Below 2930, Strict SL 2950, TGT: 2915, 2900.
BUY Crude only Above 2965, SL 2930, TGT: 2975, 2990, 3025, 3065.

Thanks.

Trade at your risk. Never hold if SL hit.

My First Analysis on US 30Yr. T-Bond 23-Mar-2014

This is my first analysis on US 30Yr. T-Bond.

CMP 164.19.
As long as 162.7/158.5 supports, I expect to see 164.5,165.8,  166.75, [168], 169, 170.4.
For any buy, now SL strict to 162.7 max.

Safe Buy
Buy US 30Yr. T-Bond only above 164.36, SL 163.75/163.2/162.7 (max), TGTs: 164.5,165.8,  166.75, [168], 169, 170.4.

UPDATE 25-Mar-2015
1st target 165.8 Hit.

Let us see how this progresses.