WTI/NYMEX Crude View 13-Aug-2015

5:17 pm IST.

CMP 43.11.

THIS VIEW IS NOT YET CONFIRMED. 

IF ANYONE IS IN TRADE PLEASE EXIT.

CMP: 43.39

Crude View Short Term:
As  per the positional view view on 01-Aug-2015, crude reached 43-42.90 from 45.28. But still I expect to see 42.15, 41.65, 41.05, 40.89 positionally.

Now,
If 42.69 holds support, I expect to see upside correction. Upside targets are: 44.55-44.81, 45.75-46, 46.85-47.19.
Retracement levels: 47.19, 50.

If you notice in the above chart, wave 3 extended and made 7 waves. wave 3 of 3 extended 261.8%.

As of now, for any buy max stop loss is 42.60. Below 42.60, I expect my positional downside targets 42.15, 41.65, 41.05, 40.89.


Positional View:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/08/wti-crude-positional-analysis-01-aug.html
As of now, I still expect the lower targets as per this view. But, now, for short term,  SL 48.65/49.55 is invalid and targets are still valid.

ALL THE BEST.
TRADE AT YOUR RISK. READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKING TRADE DECISION.

USDCHF Long Term Positional Analysis 12-Aug-2015

Previous Analysis:

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun_3.html

01-Jun-2015 9:21 PM IST
CMP 0.9469

Resistances:0.9542/1.0127/1.0238
Supports: 0.9071/0.7867

Trade Ideas:
1. Sell at cmp 0.9469, Max SL 0.9550, TGTs: 0.9307-0.9208.
Made Low 0.9151.

2. Buy between 0.9310-0.9200, Max SL 0.9065, TGTs: 0.950, 0.9648, 0.9721, 0.9818-0.9832.
Made High 0.9902.


3. Sell between 0.9720-0.9850, Max SL 1.0127, TGTs: 0.9550, 0.9100, 0.8990, 0.8890, 0.8673, 0.8600, 0.8529.
Sell Activated at 0.9850 on 12-Aug-2015 10:30 AM IST

4. Buy between 0.8730-0.8400, SL 0.7860, TGTs: 1.0200+.

12-Aug-2015 4:40 PM IST

Present View:
As long as USDCHF resisted by 0.9902/1.0127, I expect to see 0.9071 first.
Other targets: 0.8846, 0.732, 0.8666, 0.8596, 0531, 0.8443...

Above 1.0127, this view is invalid.
TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.

Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish.

 01-Oct-2015

12-Aug-2015

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.
Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish. - See more at: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html#sthash.qwPvPbDE.dpuf

Targets  62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75 HIT.

Todays calls 12-Aug-2015

Crude:

[8/12, 10:18 AM] Arockia: My positional targets: (2716), (2659), 2625, (2576), 2524, (2447), 2371, (2301). My sl 2921.
Cmp 2787.

Sell on rise is my strategy.
Best sell entry 2825-2860 if you get.

2:26 pm update. Crude 1 lot sold at 2825.

All the best.
[8/12, 10:20 AM] Arockia: If not sell below 2765, same tgts, same sl as if now. sl will change after call initiated.

[8/12, 1:34 PM] Arockia: Sell copper between 336-339, sl 341, tgts: 331, 321, 308...

[8/12, 9:32 PM] Arockia: Crude sell is still valid with sl 2921
[8/12, 9:33 PM] Arockia: Can sell again if you get above 2850 for 2767 n my positional targets

Today's calls 11-Aug-2015

[8/11, 4:35 PM] Arockia: Sell crude only below 2840, sl 2858, tgt 2824, 2810.

[8/11, 7:54 PM] Arockia: High risk call: buy crude at cmp: 2794, sl 2780, tgts: 2850, 2901, 2951, 3001.
Closed at entry.

[8/11, 8:23 PM] Arockia: Sell crude at cmp 2783 or on rise, sl 2860, big sl 2921, tgt: 2608, 2508, 2408, 2333, 1999.
[8/11, 8:23 PM] Arockia: Sl or tgt. Trade at ur risk

Todays calls 10-Aug-2015

[8/10, 10:21 AM] Arockia: Sell gold at cmp 24910 or on rise, max sl 25100, tgts: 24444, 24000.
Strict sl.

Sell crude on rise with sl 2891, tgts: 2708, 2601.

Copper sell is still active with sl 333.50 for 321, 308, 291.
[8/10, 10:23 AM] Arockia: All the best.

[8/10, 1:32 PM] Arockia: Sell crude between 2825-2840, or 2860-2680 if you get, max sl 2891, tgt 2785, 2708, 2608. All the best.
[8/10, 1:32 PM] Arockia: High risk takers can go at cmp 2805 also. Trade at ur risk.

9:35 PM IST

Copper Call 2: High Risk Call: Sell Copper 340, SL 344.3, TGTs: 328, 321, 308, 291.

Todays call 7-Aug-2015

[8/7, 10:34 AM] Arockia: Small call: sell crude at cmp 2868, sl 2883, tgts: 2855, 2837
[8/7, 10:34 AM] Arockia: Sell copper at cmp 329.85 or on rise, sl 333.90, tgts: 321
[8/7, 10:34 AM] Arockia: My sl 24889, cmp 24757, tgts: 27413, 24656, 24589, 24438
[8/7, 10:34 AM] Arockia: Risky sell ng: cmp 180.60, sl 181.50  tgts: 179.5, 178.3, 176.80

[8/7, 12:46 PM] Arockia: Gold sl hit. If anyone in crude sell exit at cmp plz. 2881
[8/7, 12:50 PM] Arockia: Crude may go to 2889, 2908, 2926, 2941, supports: 2860/2825.
[8/7, 12:51 PM] Arockia: Gold max sl 25021
[8/7, 12:51 PM] Arockia: No holding above 25021 strict
[8/7, 12:53 PM] Arockia: 99% gold will be resisted by 25021. N i expect min 24444
[8/7, 12:55 PM] Arockia: Can watch this call. My personal trade. Sell at cmp 24900, sl 25021, tgt 24444.

EQUITY - TITAN SUCCESS - NSE - Titan Positional Analysis Given on 23-Apr-2015 as on 04-Aug-2015

23-Apr-2015
CMP 396.15
As long as Titan resisted by 424, I expect to see 385 again.
Other targets: 378, 369, 359-356, 343-341, 333, 327, 318-315.
Trade Idea1: Sell at CMP 396 or on Rise between 405-416 with Max SL 424 for the above targets.
Trade Idea 2: If Price goes above 424, Sell on Rise between 425-437, with Max SL 451 for same targets.

23-Apr-2015

04-Aug-2015

TITAN BANGED!!! ALL TARGETS FROM 396.15 TO 315.

THOSE WHO TRADED/WATCHED ENJOY!!!

MCX Copper Positional Analysis SUCCESS and PRESENT VIEW - 04-Aug-2014

04-Aug-2015
CMP 333.35

Resistances: 421.20/439.40

PRESENT VIEW:
As long as Copper resisted by 377/422, I expect to see more downside and expecting 326, 291, 281, 273, 249, 245, 228...

PREVIOUS ANALYSES:
Copper did most of targets as the views/analysis given on 12-Oct-2014, 11-Dec-2014.
Targets Given on 12-Oct-2014: 399-397, 392, 381, 374, 370, 364, 345, 325, 318.

Targets Given on 11-Dec-2014: 392, 364, 346, 319, 291, 271, 245.

References:
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/mcx-copper-12-oct-2014.html
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/12/copper-postional-view-11-dec-2014.html

MCX Copper Positional Analysis SUCCESS - 04-Aug-2014

04-Aug-2015
CMP 333.35

Resistances: 421.20/439.40

PRESENT VIEW:
As long as Copper resisted by 377/422, I expect to see more downside and expecting 326, 291, 281, 273, 249, 245, 228...

PREVIOUS ANALYSES:
Copper did most of targets as the views/analysis given on 12-Oct-2014, 11-Dec-2014.
Targets Given on 12-Oct-2014: 399-397, 392, 381, 374, 370, 364, 345, 325, 318.

Targets Given on 11-Dec-2014: 392, 364, 346, 319, 291, 271, 245.

References:
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/mcx-copper-12-oct-2014.html
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/12/copper-postional-view-11-dec-2014.html

Silver Positional Analysis 01-Aug-2015

01-Aug-2015
CMP 14.72
SUPPORT ZONE: 21.31-8.44

As long long as Silver resisted by 17.77/18.48, I still expect to see lower lows and ultimate target zone is 13.89-11.34.

Can expect reversal from 13.05/12.19 zones.

As long as 8.45 supports and any reversal from the above levels, 1st target is 50$.

NOTE: LONG TERM INVESTERS CAN BUY SILVER AT LOWER LEVELS FOR BIG TARGETS AND CAN ENRICH YOUR GENERATION.

Gold Positional Analysis 01-Aug-2015

01-Aug-2015
CMP 1094.91

As long as Gold resisted by 1307/1233, I expect to see 1034, 1000, 934, 873, 755 positionally. Reversal from Any of these levels 1st target: 1920.

SUPPORT ZONE: 1035/680.
NOTE: Gold has high possibility of reversal from this support zone.

Will be updating my views on other time frames soon.

NOTE: LONG TERM INVESTERS CAN BUY GOLDAT LOWER LEVELS FOR BIG TARGETS AND CAN ENRICH YOUR GENERATION.

Thanks.

Copper Positional Analysis 01-Aug-2014

As per my Monthly Chart, As long as copper resisted by 2.9568, I expect to see lower levels and targeting 2.2497, 2.1141, 2.0562, 1.9836, 1.7225, 1.4778.

Will be updating my analysis on other time frames soon.

Thanks.

WTI Crude Positional Analysis 01-Aug-2015

Hi Friends,
READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKING TRADING DECISION.
ORIGINAL POST
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/08/wti-crude-positional-analysis-01-aug.html

Update 2:

04-Aug-2015
3:26 AM IST
CMP 45.28

Where are we heading now?
As long as Crude resisted by 49.50, we are heading to
03-Aug-2014 targets:
45.32, 44.57. 43.76, 43, 41.63, 41.05, 40.89.

04-Aug-2015 targets:
44.69, 43.90, 42.96, 42.72, 42.15.
Targets: 44.7-44.55, 43.90-43.75, 43-42.90, 42.15, 41.65, 41.05, 40.89
All the best.

Update 1

03-Aug-2015
Crude is ready for lower lows.
CMP 46.39
For Sellers SL: 48.65/49.55 STRICT.
Targets: 45.32, 44.57. 43.76, 43, 41.63, 41.05, 40.89.

01-Aug-2015
Hi Friends,
READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKING TRADING DECISION.

01-Aug-2015
CMP 46.89

As per my monthly chart,
Support: 33.96
Resistance: 147.90

Crude broken multi year support/trend line 3 times (Jan, March, July 2015) and closed below the trend line this month also.

As per my chart, I still expect to see lower lows and expecting 41.55, 36.89, 34.01, 28.01, 24.89, 21$ positionally.



As per my weekly chart,

crude has done nearly 323.6% as wave 3. And made correction of upto 62.57 from the low 43.58.
As per my view, crude made irregular correction and made a new low at 42.42 and risen up.
If you notice, crude made more than 23.6% of wave 3 which is normal correction and started the fall.

And I am still expecting lower low in crude to complete WAVE III (higher tf) at min 41.15$.

As per my Daily chart,

If crude resisted by 62.57$, I expect to see minimum 43.58, 42.42, 41.89(41.66)$.

Daily chart detailed view:

Based on my H4 chart,
we have started the down fall in crude from 62.57 and started as leading diagonal (rare wave formation at wave 1).

If this veiw correct, then I expect to see the break of 46.69 which is the base support as of now.

I have given different wave calculations in the chart, please refer by colors of the wave count.

As per my H1 Chart,
If 61.56 is the start of wave 3, we are still in down trend.
If you notice, wave 3 completed nearly 261.8% and retraced 23.6% as wave 4 at (53.81/53.49).

But as per my wave count wave 5 is not yet completed and expecting another down move minimum 46.47 and it is not limited to.

Alternate view 1:
Based on 30M chart, there is different view as of now.
NOTE: I AM STILL BEARISH and NOT convinced with this up move.
If still the correction not yet completed and 46.69 supports, there is possibility of we will see 49.55/50.18/50.63/51.15/51.29.

As per my 15M chart,
I expect to see crude below 46.69. Break of 46.69 confirms the down move.

Alternate View 2:
check the targets of 30M chart for targets.

Alternate View 3:
Based on 5M chart,
check 30M chart for targets.

Based on 5M chart,
positionally, I still expect to see lower lows below 46.69.

Trade Ideas:
For Sellers SL: 48.65/49.55 STRICT.
For Buyers SL: 46.60

For targets, check the above analyses.

Positional SL 62.65. Targets: 41.55, 36.89.

Long Term Targets: 41.55, 36.89, 34.01, 28.01, 24.89, 21$.

ALL THE BEST.

READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKING TRADING DECISION.



LAST YEAR (2014 AUGUST) ANALYSIS:
WTI/NYMEX: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/08/positional-view-mcx-crude-01-aug-2014.html

MCX: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/08/positional-view-mcx-crude-01-aug-2014.html



OTHER CHARTS:
Recent history of Crude Ups/Downs