Today's Calls 24-Sep-2015

5:00 AM IST
Sell crude below 44.35, sl 45.1 for 43.37/21, n my positional targets.

Risk takers can enter at cmp 44.73 or between 44.86-45.00, but maintain strict sl.
Below 44.35 confirms down move.
Above 45.1, I expect to see more up move.

12:00 Noon IST
Buy Copper at CMP 341, SL strict 337.7, TGTs: 343, 345, 347, 351.
Sell Below 337.7, TGTs: 333, 327, 321, 290. All the best. 

Today's Calls 23-Sep-2015

6:00 am IST
Sell crude at cmp 46.51, sl 46.71, tgts: 45.89, 45.34, 44.55. Big sl 47.05 max n strict. No holding above 47.05.

[9/23, 9:10 AM] Arockia: My view for the day:
Sell crude at market open or on rise, max sl 3163, single tgt 2957.

[9/23, 12:50 PM] Arockia: Crude sell can be initiated at cmp 3101, sl 3163, tgt 2958. STRICT SL. All the best.

Low 2970.

In my group:

[9/23, 9:01 AM] Arockia: My view for the day:
Sell crude at market open or on rise, max sl 3163, single tgt 2957.

[9/23, 10:24 AM] Arockia: Small call: sell crude at cmp 3065/66, sl 3081, tgt 3051, 3038.

[9/23, 10:54 AM] Arockia: I still expect 2957 by eod

[9/23, 11:53 AM] Arockia: My sl hit
[9/23, 11:53 AM] Arockia: Still crude bearish
[9/23, 11:53 AM] Arockia: Sl 3163

[9/23, 12:49 PM] Arockia: Crude sell can be initiated at cmp 3101, sl 3163, tgt 2958. STRICT SL. All the best.

[9/23, 1:04 PM] Arockia: Still no new views from my side. If break 3158, I will check from bigger view.
[9/23, 1:04 PM] Arockia: Ie 48.05$
[9/23, 1:05 PM] Arockia: Coz Mcx n wti mismatch at sometimes

[9/23, 6:47 PM] Arockia: Another up move can be seen above today's high as final up move for big fall???
[9/23, 6:48 PM] Arockia: Or we are already in the start of down move
[9/23, 6:49 PM] Arockia: Any how my sl 3163, n tgt 2658
[9/23, 6:49 PM] Arockia: Sorry
[9/23, 6:49 PM] Arockia: 2958*

[9/23, 7:53 PM] Arockia: Sharp fall can be seen if we get 47.32

[9/23, 8:15 PM] Arockia: Still I am bear
[9/23, 8:40 PM] Arockia: For any sell strict n max sl 3163
[9/23, 8:40 PM] Arockia: No holding above 3163

[9/23, 9:06 PM] Arockia: Crude 3101 -->> 3042. My tgt 2958
[9/23, 9:06 PM] Arockia: Book as per ur comfort.
[9/23, 9:08 PM] Arockia: [9/23, 12:50 PM] Arockia: Crude sell can be initiated at cmp 3101, sl 3163, tgt 2958. STRICT SL. All the best.

[9/23, 9:17 PM] Arockia: H1 big black candle as of now
[9/23, 9:35 PM] Arockia: Crude low 3015 from 3101. Enjoy!!!

[9/23, 9:47 PM] Arockia: As per my view, move not yet over. Take care. Low 3005. My tgt not done. But 90+ pts, enjoy...

[9/23, 9:47 PM] Arockia: Can book or wait as per ur wish. Don't loose profit.

[9/23, 9:51 PM] Arockia: Crudeeeeee. Below 3000, 100+ pts. Anyone holding???

Crude Present View 22-Sep-2015

UPDATE 01-OCT-2015

As per my previous analysis, Crude done  45.36, 45.88, High 46.30.

25-Sep-2015: I expect to see reversal between 46-47.2, Can sell with max sl 48.1, if we reach the reversal levels.

 Present Chart and its targets:

Targets: 43.21, 42.34-41.9, 41.2 - 39.65, Now for any Sell SL 48.1

 Update 25-Sep-2015

CMP 45.07
As long as 48.05 holds, I expect to see 42.34, 40.55, 38.55 positionally. For any sell, max sl 48.10.
If Crude supported by 43.70, I expect to see 45.36, 45.88, 46.39, 46.77, 47.1. For any buy, max sl 43.65.
I expect to see reversal between 46-47.2, Can sell with max sl 48.1, if we reach the reversal levels.
Thanks.

22-Sep-2015 - 8:49 PM IST

CMP 43.85/3046.


Still I am bearish with Crude.
As long as 49.32/48.41 resists, I expect to see 42.38/21, 42.22, 41.68, 41.19, 40.54. Below 37.80, heavy fall towards 34/28/21$.

Seller's SL strict to 48.45/3215 max.

Will be updating my view with more charts and tfs soon.

Grasim Analysis 20-Sep-2015

CMP 3497
Resistances: 3840/4024.85(Historical High of Grasim)
Supports: 3324/3300/3218.
Any side break can be a big move.


Possible Scenario:

I expect to see down move as long as 3840 resists. Because, it has reversed exactly from 76.4 level of previous down move.

But break of that, I expect to big up move and next resistance at 4025.
 

MA 89 resists as of now. And all my MAs(89,144,233) are above the price.
If I count this down move from 4025 as ABC, I expect to see 3120 (C=A).

As per this wave count,
one can go for sell
at CMP 3496
or between 3550-3710
with Max SL 3850. 

Success Stories of my Analysis from 13-May-2014

Here below, I given some of my success stories of my analysis on Index, stocks, currency and commodities. Still lot more available in my blogs and  in LinkedIn.

Blogs:

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in

LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=360069485/

 

Initial Version of Research Report (Elliott Wave Analysis) of Crude Analysis of the DOWNFALL 26-MAR-2015

http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/initial-version-of-research-report-of.html

 

 NIFTY Analysis Updates 12-Sep-2015

CMP 7779
Targets UPTO  7586-7585 done from 8763.

11-Apr-2015 CHART

12-Sep-2015 CHART

11-Apr-2015
CMP 8763
Based on my H4 chart,
As long as Nifty resisted by 9112, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets: 8200, 8180, 8070, 8010, 7940, 7750.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-11-apr-2015.html

21-Apr-2015
CMP 8438
As per my Analysis, we are in Wave 4 correction. As long as 8838/9112 resists, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets are: 8169, 8068, 7990, 7944, 7794, 7743, 7670, 7586, 7468.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-21-apr-2015.html


7-May-2015
Targets: 8265, 8200, 8180, 8169, 8070-8068 (done), 8010, 7995-7990, 7944-7940, [7800-7794], 7750-7743, 7674-7670, [7586-7585], 7473-7468, 7414.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-7-may-2015.html


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-26-may-2015.html

 

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014

USDINR Analysis Update - Analysis given on 01-Oct-2014
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.

Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish.

 01-Oct-2015

12-Aug-2015

Based on my daily Chart, I expect USDINR to move up. It has already done minimum upside move at 60.80, but still I expect upside move.
Upside retracement levels: 62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75, 65.50-65.70, 66.40-66.60. Above 68.75 Highly Bullish. - See more at: http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/usdinr-positional-view-01-oct-2014.html#sthash.qwPvPbDE.dpuf

Targets  62.25-62.30, 63.40-63.55, 64.50-64.75 HIT.

USDCHF Long Term Positional Analysis 12-Aug-2015

Previous Analysis:

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/06/long-term-positional-view-usdchf-01-jun_3.html

01-Jun-2015 9:21 PM IST
CMP 0.9469

Resistances:0.9542/1.0127/1.0238
Supports: 0.9071/0.7867

Trade Ideas:
1. Sell at cmp 0.9469, Max SL 0.9550, TGTs: 0.9307-0.9208.
Made Low 0.9151.

2. Buy between 0.9310-0.9200, Max SL 0.9065, TGTs: 0.950, 0.9648, 0.9721, 0.9818-0.9832.
Made High 0.9902.


3. Sell between 0.9720-0.9850, Max SL 1.0127, TGTs: 0.9550, 0.9100, 0.8990, 0.8890, 0.8673, 0.8600, 0.8529.
Sell Activated at 0.9850 on 12-Aug-2015 10:30 AM IST

4. Buy between 0.8730-0.8400, SL 0.7860, TGTs: 1.0200+.

12-Aug-2015 4:40 PM IST

Present View:
As long as USDCHF resisted by 0.9902/1.0127, I expect to see 0.9071 first.
Other targets: 0.8846, 0.732, 0.8666, 0.8596, 0531, 0.8443...

Above 1.0127, this view is invalid.
TRADE AT YOUR RISK.

EQUITY - TITAN SUCCESS - NSE - Titan Positional Analysis Given on 23-Apr-2015 as on 04-Aug-2015

23-Apr-2015
CMP 396.15
As long as Titan resisted by 424, I expect to see 385 again.
Other targets: 378, 369, 359-356, 343-341, 333, 327, 318-315.
Trade Idea1: Sell at CMP 396 or on Rise between 405-416 with Max SL 424 for the above targets.
Trade Idea 2: If Price goes above 424, Sell on Rise between 425-437, with Max SL 451 for same targets.

23-Apr-2015

04-Aug-2015

TITAN BANGED!!! ALL TARGETS FROM 396.15 TO 315.

THOSE WHO TRADED/WATCHED ENJOY!!!

MCX Copper Positional Analysis SUCCESS - 04-Aug-2014

04-Aug-2015
CMP 333.35

Resistances: 421.20/439.40

PRESENT VIEW:
As long as Copper resisted by 377/422, I expect to see more downside and expecting 326, 291, 281, 273, 249, 245, 228...

PREVIOUS ANALYSES:
Copper did most of targets as the views/analysis given on 12-Oct-2014, 11-Dec-2014.
Targets Given on 12-Oct-2014: 399-397, 392, 381, 374, 370, 364, 345, 325, 318.

Targets Given on 11-Dec-2014: 392, 364, 346, 319, 291, 271, 245.

References:
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/10/mcx-copper-12-oct-2014.html
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2014/12/copper-postional-view-11-dec-2014.html

NYMEX Crude Chart for Ideas 15-May-2015

LONG TERM VIEW
Based on Historical Chart, I expect to see 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5 positionally if 62.57 is the end of WAVE 4 of c of B.

Reversal from any of these levels, 1st target: 147.

Gold Analysis Update 30-Apr-2015 - View Given on 29-Apr-2015

30-Apr-2015: 7:38. BUY Call Cancelled. Will udpate my view  later.
High Risk buy can be initiated at cmp 1178.5 with max sl 1173.5$.
 
30-Apr-2015 6:39 PM IST

29-Apr-2015

Original Post: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gold-positional-view-29-apr-2015.html

CMP 1210.64
Support: 1140/1174.

As long as Gold Resisted by 1215, I expect to see 1206, 1200, 1196, 1191, 1187 on the downside.

Almost ALL TARGETS DONE. LOW as of now 1187.72.

30-Apr-2015

 

CRUDE, USDCHF, EURUSD AND GBPUSD Views Updates 29-Apr-2015

29-Mar-2015 USDCHF 0.9800 -->> 0.9500, 0.9343 (min) - Made low 0.9345.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
16-Apr-2015 EURUSD 1.0818 -->> 1.0849, 1.0972, 1.1049-1.1066, 1.1109-1.1115 hit
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/eurusd-positional-analysis-16-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
28-Apr-2015 GBPUSD 1.5238 -->> 1.5488.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k

28-Apr-2015 CRUDE 56.62 -->> 56.95, 57.22, 57.48, 57.69, 58.38.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/nymex-crude-view-28-apr-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k
ORIGINAL POSTS and CLEAR CHARTS:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/usdchf-positional-analysis-29-mar-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/eurusd-view-23-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/gbpusd-positional-analysis-28-apr-2015.html
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nymex-crude-analysis-update-29-apr-2015.html

UPDATE: MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015 - 23-Apr-2015

MCX Crude Positional Analysis 11-Apr-2015
CMP 3216.

As per my Daily Chart, If Crude supported by 2952 I expect to see 3312, [3363], 3423, [3468], 3551, 3603, 3722, 3774, 3871, 4027, 4115, 4148.

Present Chart 23-Apr-2015

 

S&P 500 25-Aug-2015

21-Aug-2015 (4 days ago)

As long as S&P resisted by 2126/2134, i expect to see 2040 n more down. Support zone: 2016-1810.

29-June-2015
If S&P resisted by 2126/2144 I expect to see 2026, 1987, 1950, 1906 in the near term. Thanks.

Present View 25-Aug-2015

CMP 1914.50
If S&P supported by 1865, I expect to see 1950 again and further 1980-1990, 2014-2018, 2032-2044, 2060-2070.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/sp-500-analysis-25-august-2015-arockia-chinnappa-raj-k

WTI Crude Oil Analysis 18-May-2015

18-May-2015 7:31 AM IST
CMP 59.82

As per my analysis, we have completed wave 4 from the bigger picture. Now, as long as crude resisted by 61.83/62.57, I expect to see lower levels in crude.


Trade Idea:
One can Sell Crude below 58.1 or at cmp 59.84 or betweeen 60.1-61.1 with SL 61.9/62.6(max).
Targets: 57.8, 57.4, 55.5, 53, 51, 47, 45.5.

Best Sell Entry: 60.8-61.1

Other targets: 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5
Ref: http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nymex-crude-chart-for-ideas-15-may-2015.html


As of now, I could see 3-3 moves. So, as per my view, most likely, we may end this down move in a ending diagonal. But let us wait and watch how the market progresses.


This view is invalid Above 62.6. We may see another up move above 62.6, targeting 65, 68, 71.

Gold, Crude, US 30Yr Bond, USDCHF Calls Success 26-Mar-2015

Gold View 20-Mar-2015
My First Analysis on US 30Yr. T-Bond 23-Mar-2014
USDCHF Positional Analysis 24-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude View 25-Mar-2015
NYMEX Crude 26-Mar-2015
GOLD 1179 --> 1216
US 30Yr. BOND 164.36 --> 165.8
USDCHF 0.9669 --> 0.9515
NYMEX CRUDE
47.1-46.8 --> 51
49.74 --> 51.80
http://freecommodityanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/gold-crude-us-30yr-bond-usdchf-calls.html

15-Sep-2015

Nickel Buy sl 649 max, CMP 656.2
Alum Sell max sl 107.9, CMP 106.50
Zinc some confusion, CMP 113.25
Lead no trade zone coz sl big, 110.30
NG Buy above 192 for 213, CMP 184.80
Gold no trade zone but still sell on rise is the strategy sl big, CMP 25979

Crude sell with max sl 3037 for 2689. CMP 2954.

NIFTY Analysis Updates 12-Sep-2015

CMP 7779
Targets UPTO  7586-7585 done from 8763.

11-Apr-2015 CHART

12-Sep-2015 CHART

11-Apr-2015
CMP 8763
Based on my H4 chart,
As long as Nifty resisted by 9112, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets: 8200, 8180, 8070, 8010, 7940, 7750.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-11-apr-2015.html

21-Apr-2015
CMP 8438
As per my Analysis, we are in Wave 4 correction. As long as 8838/9112 resists, I expect to see 8265 again. Other targets are: 8169, 8068, 7990, 7944, 7794, 7743, 7670, 7586, 7468.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/04/nifty-positional-view-21-apr-2015.html


7-May-2015
Targets: 8265, 8200, 8180, 8169, 8070-8068 (done), 8010, 7995-7990, 7944-7940, [7800-7794], 7750-7743, 7674-7670, [7586-7585], 7473-7468, 7414.
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-7-may-2015.html


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nifty-analysis-26-may-2015.html

Today's Calls 03-Sep-2015

7:23 PM IST
Sell Crude at cmp 47.07/3130, SL 47.37/3157 MAX SL 49.57/3267 for 43.55/2889 n more.

Today's Calls 02-Sep-2015

Yesterday call is active.
01-Sep-2015 4:12 PM IST
SELL CRUDE AT CMP 48.34, SL 49.37, TGTs: 47.21, 46.01, 44.34, 41.89. FIXED.

11:52 AM IST
Intra Sell Crude at cmp 44.38, SL max 44.57 Strict. Targets: 43.21, 41.89, 41.01.

MCX Sell Crude at cmp 2956, SL 2991, Targets: 2934, 2901, 2889, 2855, 2834, 2801.

12:29 PM IST
EXIT INTRA CRUDE SELL AT CMP 44.55/2966 SELL GIVEN AT 44.38/2956.
RISK TAKERS CAN HOLD WITH SL 47$ STRICT.
BUT POSITIONAL VIEW IS VALID AS LONG AS 45.33/47$ HOLDS.


All the best.
Thanks.

Crude Analysis 01-Sep-2015

03-Sep-2015 2:54 PM IST

CMP 46.11.
Resistance: 49.34.
Still I am bearish with Crude.

01-Sep-2015
CMP 48.17

As long as 49.32 resists, I expect to see lower levels and my min targets 45.55, 43.21, 41.01.

For actual targets check my chart.

Reflex points: 49.32/47.02

Trade Idea: Max SL above or below reflex point .05.

Thanks. Any break of 49.32, target 55/61$ intact.

Crude Analysis 01-Sep-2015

CMP 48.17

As long as 49.32 resists, I expect to see lower levels and my min targets 45.55, 43.21, 41.01.

For actual targets check my chart.

Reflex points: 49.32/47.02

Trade Idea: Max SL above or below reflex point .05.

Thanks. Any break of 49.32, target 55/61$ intact.

Today's Calls & Views 1-Sep-2015

11:15 AM IST

CMP 47.80
Support: 47.21
Resistance: 49.34

1. As long as 49.34 resists, I expect to see big fall, targetting min 47,  46.01, 44.34, 41.89.

2.If crude supported by 47.21, I expect to see 48.01 again and 48.30-48.89.[invalid 1:39 PM IST]

3. If crude resisted by 48.01, I expect to see 47.45, support 47.23.


Trade Ideas:

1. Buy crude at cmp or between 47.5-47.3, or above 48.05 Targets: 48, 48.30, 48.50, 48.83. SL 47.19

2. Sell Crude between 48.3-48.48.90 or below 47.19, SL 49.37, Targets: 47.21, 46.01, 44.34, 41.89.

3. Sell Crude at cmp with max sl 48.07, for 47.65, 47.34.

1:41 PM IST
Crude can move up from here, but as per my analysis, sl 47.19 hit.
NOW,
Call 2 and 3 are valid.
CALL 3 TARGET DONE.

1:46 PM IST:
Down side 1st target 46.35, cmp 47.25, NOW, SL max 48.05 for any SELL STRICT.


4:12 PM IST
SELL CRUDE AT CMP 48.34, SL 49.37, TGTs: 47.21, 46.01, 44.34, 41.89. FIXED.

ALTERNATE VIEW:
BUY CRUDE ABOVE 49.37 FOR 50/55/61$.



Thanks,
Read Disclaimer before trading.

ALL THE BEST.