MCX BMs Views

[6/10, 7:00 PM] Arockia: Lead positional analysis 10-Jun-2016
Cmp 115.75
Res: 116.4/118.1

As long as above levels resists, i expect to see 113.8/112.8/112.1/111.1/110.55
Risk takers can enter at cmp with sl 116.4/118.1 max.
Best sell entry would be 116.3-117.5 if u get.
Ur money n decision is urs.
Thanks.





[6/10, 7:30 PM] Arockia: MCX: Copper Analysis 10-Jun-2016
CMP: 300.40
Resistance: 318.

As long 318 resists, I expect 291.5/283.65/279.9/270.9/265.7/256.7/251.




[6/10, 7:30 PM] Arockia: MCX: Nickel Analysis 10-Jun-2016
CMP 597.80
Supports: 556/549/517
Resistance: 646

As long as Nickel supported by the above levels, I expect to see 646 first. Further we can see 654/670-677, 691-699, 714-717, 728, 744, 762.




[6/10, 9:40 PM] Arockia: MCX: Alum Analysis 10-Jun-2016
CMP 105.3
Resistances: 107.9/111.6
Support: 102.3

As long as the above levels resists, I expect to see 102.3 again.
Further targets: 102, 98.6, 98, 96.5, 95-94.8, 93-92.8, 91.55.




[6/11, 9:35 PM] Arockia: Weekly Analysis:
If crude closes below 48.89, highly bearish.

Early signs:
1. Weekly candle is gravestone doji.
2. Closed below MA 89.

Confirmation will be in coming week.

As of now, need to watch. No positional trades.

Now res is at 51.65$. Sellers sl max 51.65$ if u want to trade.

My targets: 47.3/45.55/43/41.55 if 51.65$ resists.

Min tgt done at 49.3$. Next small tgts can be 48.55/47.3$.

NOTE: THIS VIEW IS VALID AS LONG AS 51.65$ RESISTS.

[6/11, 9:39 PM] Arockia: Seasonality reversals:
May-Jun OR Aug-Sep TO Feb - BEARISH.
Jan-Feb To May-Jun OR Aug-Sep - BULLISH.

YEARLY

BUY IN MAR N SELL AT MAY/JUN

SELL IN JUN OR SEP N BUY AT DEC/JAN

NYMEX: Crude Analysis 15-Jun-2016

Is this in play?

24-Apr-2016

Bear Scenario:

As long as 35.2 supports, we can see 44.8 first, and further 45.4, 46.4-46.8, 47.5-47.8, 49.2, 50.26.

If crude resisted by 50.91$ and any reversal from the above levels, first target 26$ and further targets 21, 19.89, 17.89$.


Original Post:

http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/04/crude-positioanl-analysis-24-apr-2016.html

15-Jun-2016

CMP: 47.81

If crude resisted by 48.68$, I expect to see 47.42, 46.95, 46.66-46.48, 46.18, 45.77, 45.41 next.

Crude Positional Analysis 24-Apr-2016

10-Jun-2016

CMP 48.94$
Now I am little bit worried about my bearish scenario, but still there is some possibility out there.
For my bearish and bullish scenario, please check:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/04/crude-positioanl-analysis-24-apr-2016.html

[6/11, 9:35 PM] Arockia: Weekly Analysis:

If crude closes below 48.89, highly bearish.

Early signs:

1. Weekly candle is gravestone doji.

2. Closed below MA 89.

Confirmation will be in coming week.

As of now, need to watch. No positional trades.

Now res is at 51.65$. Sellers sl max 51.65$ if u want to trade.

My targets: 47.3/45.55/43/41.55 if 51.65$ resists.

Min tgt done at 49.3$. Next small tgts can be 48.55/47.3$.

NOTE: THIS VIEW IS VALID AS LONG AS 51.65$ RESISTS.

[6/11, 9:39 PM] Arockia: Seasonality reversals:

May-Jun OR Aug-Sep TO Feb - BEARISH.

Jan-Feb To May-Jun OR Aug-Sep - BULLISH.

YEARLY

BUY IN MAR N SELL AT MAY/JUN

SELL IN JUN OR SEP N BUY AT DEC/JAN

Update 16-May-2016

 CMP 47.26

2015 Chart:

 2016 Chart:

Is history going to repeat again between May-June/July 2016?

 24-Apr-2016

CMP 43.71

Supports: 26/9.75$
Resistances: 62.57/112.21

Based on monthly chart, still I expect to see lower levels below 26$ positionally.

Bear Scenario:

As long as 35.2 supports, we can see 44.8 first, and further 45.4, 46.4-46.8, 47.5-47.8, 49.2, 50.26.
If crude resisted by 50.91$ and any reversal from the above levels, first target 26$ and further targets 21, 19.89, 17.89$.

Bull scenario:

Based on Weekly chart,
As long as 35.2 supports, I expect to see 51.55$ first, further we can see 55.45, 57.88, [61.7-64.1], 78.

Based on Daily chart,
As long as 37.60/35.23 supports, I expect to see [44.8], 46.55, 47.55, [49.3-50.35], 56.55.

Seasonality Analysis:

As per my seasonlity analysis, crude is bullish between Feb - Aug and bearish between Aug/Oct - Jan/Feb.

If history repeats, we can see lower low around December 2016.

ICICI Bank Analysis 24-Apr-2016

ICICI Bank
CMP 253
Supports: 220/181
As long as 220 supports, I expect to see 279 first, further 316-325. 279-293-302-316-325.

HINDPETRO (Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited) Analysis 24-Apr-2016

HINDPETRO (Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited)
CMP 855.90
Suppports: 636/158
Resistance: 995
As long as 995 resists, I expect to see 636 again and further 577-551, 499-478, 415-403.

Levels to watch: 857-910.

HDIL Analysis 24-Apr-2016

HDIL
CMP 83.10
Supports: 55.7/54.55
Resistance: 143.70
As long as 55.7 supports, I expect to see 81.5 (done already), 87-88.7, 91.3, 97.45-99.1-101.3, 107.2-109.7, 115.7-117.6, 122.5-123.2.

Crude Update 20-Apr-2016 - Is the history repeating again?

CMP 41.75$
Res: 42.9
Supports: 37.6/35.23

Crude is trading at important level. Immediate big down moves / lower lows  are in doubt as of now, because, crude has broken important resistance 42.46$ and made high 42.85/42.88.

For any sell strict n max sl must be 42.9$. If break likely scenarios
1. We have started bull move. If this is the case, buy on dips will be the main strategy.
2. We have started bigger correction with resistance at 62.6$. If this is the case, correction may last for longer time.

Seasonal Crude Moves based on the historical charts:
Feb/Mar - Aug/Oct - BULL MOVE.

Reference Charts:
http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/01/update-trading-ideas-historical.html