Saturday 30 January 2016

Crude Update 30-Jan-2015

Chart for Trade Ideas:
CMP: 33.60

Support:27.54$
Resistance:50.91

If crude supported by 27.54, we will see more completed correction which is one of the wave 4 characteristic as per my knowledge. Also, we have done minium upside retracement of (28.56) at 33.05. Next and normal retracement level of w4 would be 36.46.





Note:As per my analysis, this final down move (W5) is going end as an Ending Diagonal.


Wednesday 27 January 2016

UPDATE Trading Ideas, Historical Seasonal Analysis of Crude given long time back (15-May-2015, 1-Aug-2015)

26-Jan-2015 12:51 PM IST


Original Posts:


15-May-2015


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/05/nymex-crude-chart-for-ideas-15-may-2015.html

LONG TERM VIEW
Based on Historical Chart, I expect to see 45.2, 37.9, 33.2, 30.2, 22.5 positionally if 62.57 is the end of WAVE 4 of c of B.

CMP was 59.80








1-Aug-2015


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2015/08/wti-crude-positional-analysis-01-aug.html

CMP was 45.28

Historical Ups and Downs with Seasonality.





What is expected now?


I am telling from long time back, I expect to se 21/19.89%.  But, Crude has done minimum retracement of 50% (30.08). Next 22.46.





Previous Comments/Posts:

[1/25 4:47 AM][25-Jan-2016] Arockia: Support 27.4$, Resistance 38.4$
We may see xyz pattern or bigger ▶ pattern as wave 4. Mostly it won't break 38.4$.

Actual/Bigger Resistance is only at 50.91$



25-Jan-2016


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/01/nymexwti-crude-view-15-jan-2016.html


21-Jan-2016


http://rajmarketresearchanalysis.blogspot.in/2016/01/crude-analysis-21-jan-2015.html





My ultimate targets: 28.70, 27.58, 25.66, 20.69, 19.41, 18$


NOTE: THIS IS BASED ON MY OWN ANALYSIS, AND EACH ONE'S WAVE COUNT/VIEWS MAY DIFFER. THIS IS FOR STUDY PURPOSE ONLY. IF ANYONE TRADING BASED ON THIS, TRADE AT YOUR RISK. ALWAYS, READ DISCLAIMER BEFORE TAKING ANY TRADING DECISION.

Monday 25 January 2016

NYMEX/WTI Crude view 25-Jan-2016

IST
Cmp 37.38


[1/25, 4:36 AM] Arockia: Gm friends

Another trading week started.

As I am mentioning from long time I expect to see lower lows/bottom in crude by Feb 2016.

Still my view continues n expecting another last low from bigger time frame.

Shall we give a pass for this down move?

Means bigger correction before final fall/ ultimate goal is tgt?

Chart looks likes we may see complex xyz correction before next fall.

So traders please watch carefully and trade.

Analysts, plz go thru' n correct me if I am wrong.

Thanks.

Arockia.


[1/25, 4:47 AM] Arockia: Support 27.4$, Resistance 38.4$
We may see xyz pattern or bigger ▶ pattern as wave 4. Mostly it won't break 38.4$.

Actual/Bigger Resistance is only at 50.91$


[1/25, 4:55 AM] Arockia: As most of u know, my ultimate tgt is 20/19.89$  LONG TERM Positional.

Seasonally, crude may move upside from Feb/March till Jun/Aug .

So need to to wait.
Are we going to see bigger correction until Jun/Aug 2016.

Or we going to achieve our tgt n reverse to main up trend?

Time will tell. I lost my historical crude historical seasonality chart n searching for it.

Will post once I got it.

Thanks,
Arockia.

Thursday 21 January 2016

Crude Analysis - 21-JAN-2015

7:10 PM IST

Crude CMP 28.38
2+8+3+8+ = 12 = 3


Today's Date is 21-01-2016
Fib Numbers related with today's dates are
21, 1
2+1 = 3
2+1+21+1+1+6 = 13

Today is important daY FOR CRUDE.  MAny fib numberes are conflicting todays date.



Fib Series 1,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89....

Watch and trade.

RESISTANCE: 29.20
SUPPORT: 27.50
Near by FIBS 29.18, 27.55.


Numbers to be watched + or -5.

Have strict SL Trade, All the best.

AS USUAL I AM STILL BEARISH AND EXPECTING MORE LOWER LEVELS.

WILL GIVE MY DETAILED ANALYSIS AFTER 24/25 JANUARY, 2016.

NOTE; MANY OF MY TARGETS DONE.

Will be back from 24/25 Jan.



Thanks.


I am hospitalized from 2nd (road accident), and will expecting to be back on 24/25 January. Until then, Good Bye friends, Enjoy trading. If you have time, please go thru' my old posts for my views which were given already.


THANKS ALL.